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April 10th Monday 2006 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting chat room on the IRC Othernet server that allows traders from all over the world to communicate.

Click here for the instructions on gaining access to #FuturesTrades.

In addition, NihabaAshi is the only trader in #FuturesTrades that represents TheStrategyLab.com strategies.

Further, you'll find below the chat room text log of realtime trades that were posted by full-time, part-time traders from around the world and the timestamp is eastern standard time (est). 

Also, you should read NihabaAshi's trading blog like comments (posted below after the trade posts) because sometimes the commentary will contain trading tips that are more useful than what you will see at any other futures blog.

 Session Start: Mon Apr 10 09:24:42 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:24
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<WannaBeBOS> gm09:27

thinnest i have seen the room ever

the server must be split
<PapaJon> gm gents09:28
<NihabaAshi> Wanna...yes...the Othernet is still having problems which sends some of our members to another server.09:29

They were suppose to fix that this weekend but looks like they have not.
<WannaBeBOS> apparently
<NihabaAshi> Today's key economic reports are just the "Bill Announcements and Auctions"...09:31

These tend to produce range days.
<WannaBeBOS> short week too
<NihabaAshi> Therefore, I'm going to reduce my position size to better manage my risk exposure.
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)
<NihabaAshi> Hopefully, the hyping of the Oil markets will produce at least one small trend that I can jump on.09:32
<WannaBeBOS> dont forget gold and silver
<PapaJon> lots of rallies/marches today09:35
<WannaBeBOS> a lot of useless ones09:37
<PapaJon> yah.. that issue is a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situation09:38
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11187 09:46
  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 11182 --> + 5 09:47
  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 11180 --> + 7 09:49
<pdays>  Shorts ER2 @ 760.0 «« paper »» 10:02
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11193 10:03
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 759.70 -> small size
<pdays>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 759.7 --> + 0.3 «« paper »»
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 11196 --> - 3 10:04
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 759.80 10:05
  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 760.60 --> + 0.9 10:06
  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 761.50 --> + 1.8 10:10
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 112111 10:16

11211

Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 112106 --> + 5 10:20

11206

Covered Remainder YM Short @ 112107 --> + 4 10:22

11207
<WannaBeBOS> very slow out there10:24
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11204 10:28

Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 11197 --> + 7

Covered Remainder YM Short @ 11191 --> + 13 10:29
<NihabaAshi> :(10:30
 Market was not kind to my remainder.
  Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 759.80 --> + 0.1
<mispe>  Long YM @ 11196 10:35

Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 11201 --> + 5 10:38

Exited Remainder YM Long @ 11200 --> + 4 10:39

Shorts YM @ 11201 10:43
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 11197 --> + 4 10:47
* WannaBeBOS is now known as BOS-off11:21
<aym> Short QM @ 68.22511:29
* BOS-offtoQuatar is now known as BOS-Bro2Quatar11:31
<aym> Covered 1/2 QM Short @ 68.05 +0.17511:38

Stop the reminder QM @ 68.211:47
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)11:56
  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)13:05
<NihabaAshi> nobody in here trading since 1147am est???13:58
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)14:17
<aym> I think It's difficult for market to rally with oil & gold make new highs.14:27
<NihabaAshi> Agree...the market goes sideways or down over the next few trading days while Oil and Gold becoming the talk of the town...14:46
 Then if Oil and Gold stablizes at these new price levels...
 We could see some range days until someone makes a big move either up further or down further out of the range.14:47
<aym> Thanks for your explaination.14:53
<NihabaAshi> The only price action surprise of the trading day was the movement between 11am - 1215pm est.14:57
<aym> I find trading stocks much easier or safer at this time than trading futures. It's easy to find overbought stocks.14:58
<NihabaAshi> I entered today thinking either range day or a continued price decline on low volume in reaction to last Friday's price action.
<aym> Short YM @ 11195, Stop loss @ 1121015:19
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)15:26
<NihabaAshi> Hi Goodmood and substanz...15:32
<GoodMood> Hi Marc !
<NihabaAshi> Where you two diverted to the other "ghost" room that the Othernet is currently still having a problem with ???15:33
<substanz> hi niha !
<GoodMood> oh ... I don't know

maybe

not much activity here
<NihabaAshi> Ok...because you two weren't here this morning.15:34
<GoodMood> I joined about 2 hours ago
<substanz> i have a job niha
<GoodMood> so do I
<NihabaAshi> Goodmood...I think you were in the other room especially if you didn't see me in there.15:35
<GoodMood> so what can I do ???
<NihabaAshi> Othernet is having a problem in which our room got "split" into two different rooms.
 Nothing you can do until they fix it.
<GoodMood> oh
<NihabaAshi> Trying to log out and then back in will sometimes get you into the right room.15:36
 I suspect that may have what happen to you...you logged out and then logged back in.
 If not...that may meant that the Othernet has fixed the problem.
 Will know for sure tomorrow.
<GoodMood> so, I log out now and come back immediately ?15:37

well, not much time left

so I shouldn't bother
<NihabaAshi> I'm posting an update right now in the PASSWORD thread about this problem and how to get into the correct room by logging out and back in a few times on a different server.15:40
<GoodMood> ok
<NihabaAshi> Just in case it happens again after they fix it.
 It happens about 1-3 times per year.
<aym> Put an order to cover YM @ 11180, or it will be stopped @ 11210.15:51
* BOS-Bro2Quatar is now known as WannaBeBOS15:58
<NihabaAshi> Gotta go repair a fence that the harsh winter damaged.16:22
<GoodMood> bye niha
<NihabaAshi> Take care all and see all tomorrow.16:23
* DisconnectedSession Close: Mon Apr 10 16:23:07 2006
Sponsors: QCharts   #FuturesTrades Info ->   Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY) 
  
Trading Blog Below is not your traditional trader's blog in the usual blog format. However, you will find informative commentary that on a few occasions will contain trading tips that should help your trading as I attempt to sum up my thoughts as I traversed from the first trade to the last trade that was posted above in #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting chat room. 

 

 

 

 

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Range Bound Trading Days

I see often a common discussion at many discussion forums and in chat room by traders trying to determine how to predict trend days.

Here's a simple solution. Find yourself a good economic calendar. Next, study and correlate your charts to that calendar and you will see that trading days that are occupied by Bill Announcements tend to produce range bound trading days or days where the market will tend to close near its opening price.

As for trend days, they tend to appear when there a day associated with the Federal Reserve such as FOMC Announcements, Beige Book and key fed speakers that are being monitored closely by big institutions.

In addition, trading days where there was a parabolic price movement via 0830am est economic reports will tend to produce a few good trends when the market opens at 0930am est.

Today was full of Bill Announcements. Thus, I reduced my position size to have better control over my risk exposure because I expected either a range bound trading day, few pattern signals or a day where the closing price is close to the opening price.

Simply, it was a good trading day to get some personal stuff completed. 

Today's results shown above are that of NihabaAshi only. To see his total accumulated points for the month of April...click here. To see results for the months of 2006 and prior years...click here.

Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)  

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We are proud to say that our chat room members are from the following geographical areas in the world:

Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures ES, NQ and ER2 

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Exchange Traded Funds SPY, QQQQ, IWM and DIA

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

Last of all, if you have any questions about either #EminiFutures general market chat room, #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting room or the two realtime strategy discussion rooms used by traders with access to our fee-based strategies called #TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

questions@thestrategylab.com

"The point of this whole exercise is to make money. Everything else is just conversation." --Jonathan Hoenig


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