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#FuturesTrades April 4th Friday 2008 Trade Log

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today	Month	Year
+20.90	+58.30	+1153.70
$2,090	$5,830	$115,370

Profitable Trade

1502pm - 1526pm est

Losing Trade

0934am - 0937am est

click on image to view actual size

Current Performance Record

Key Trades of the Day

Profit/Loss Statement

General Strategy Info: The above profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log.

Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

There is some subjectivity involved with some of my trades when I'm developing a new strategy (hence the name TheStrategyLab.com) that uses WRB Analysis.

In fact, many of my trades or profit targets will occur within key WRB support/resistance zones because these price areas gives me a better understanding of key changes in supply demand.

Traditional pivot point analysis or traditional s/r levels are inadequate in understanding changes in supply/demand of the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 or any other trading instrument of today's markets in comparison to WRB Analysis.

WRB Analysis is also a key aspect in my use of intermarket analysis (ex. Oil and Gold), market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis and custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

Further, position size management is a key aspect of my trading and I trade any where between 1 to 9 contracts per trade depending upon the volatility, pattern signal, seasonal tendencies or intuition.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets so that I'll have a better understanding of ER2 price action.

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

#FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.

Session Start: Fri Apr 04 00:00:00 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades

* DisconnectedSession Close: Fri Apr 04 00:30:52 2008 00:30

Session Start: Fri Apr 04 09:26:58 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades

* Now talking in #futurestrades 09:26

<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm

<futurible> good morning all 09:28

<anglo> gm 09:30

<NihabaAshi> Good morning all

<T-stop> gm

<szubaark> Buys ES @ 1373 «« paper »» 09:31

<drt> gm all 09:33

<NihabaAshi> Shorts ER2 @ 715.70 -> medium size 09:34

intuition

<ripsboy> gm all...

<NihabaAshi> Shorts ER2 @ 712.70 -> medium size 09:35

that's the correction

Covered ER2 Short @ 714.00 --> - 1.3 09:36

Shorts ER2 @ 713.80 -> medium size 09:37

intuition

I obviously have a bearish bias

Will keep shorting until about 10am est 09:38

<Spartan> Long ES @ 1369.25 -> medium size «« paper »» 09:39

<eminitrader> Long ES @ 1368.25 09:40

<NihabaAshi> Covered 3/4 ER2 Short @ 709.50 --> + 4.3 09:41

<PapaJon> nice one niha

<NihabaAshi> There's some support in the current price area 09:42

<lumenPharmer> nq er es, all below trend line from 8:00 yesterday

<eminitrader> ES in confirmed downtrend as per the overnight pa

<futurible> vn Niha for your intuition 09:43

<eminitrader> Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1369.75 --> + 1.5

<NihabaAshi> Covered ER2 Short @ 710.20 --> + 3.6

Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 710.20

<Spartan> Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1371 --> + 1.75 «« paper »» 09:44

<NihabaAshi> Exited ER2 Long @ 711.30 --> + 1.1 09:45

<eminitrader> Exited 1/3 ES Long @ 1371.25 --> + 3

<szubaark> nice Longs everyone

<Spartan> thanks, practicing the morning fade 09:46

<eminitrader> Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1370.25 --> + 2 09:49

<Spartan> Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1369.25 --> 0 «« paper »»

<szubaark> Exited all Long ES at 1367.50 --> - 5.5 «« paper »» 09:51

Shorts ES @ 1367.50 «« paper »»

<Spartan> Shorts ES @ 1369.50 -> small size «« paper »»

<V_trader> Long YM @ 12579 -> medium size 09:54

<Spartan> Covered all ES Short @ 1371.50 --> - 2 «« paper »»

<V_trader> Exited 2/3 YM Long @ 12595 --> + 16 09:55

exit stop set YM @ 12579

<Spartan> Shorts ES @ 1372 -> small size «« paper »» 09:57

<V_trader> Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 12599 --> + 20

Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 12579 --> 0 10:01

<Spartan> exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1372 «« paper »»

<V_trader> Long YM @ 12580 -> small size 10:02

<Spartan> Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1372 --> 0 «« paper »» 10:04

:( 10:05

<eminitrader> Long ES @ 1371.50

<V_trader> Exited Remainder YM Long @ 12580 --> 0 10:06

<eminitrader> Exited all ES Long @ all 1371 --> + all 1371 - 1371.50

Long ES @ 1369 10:07

Exited all ES Long @ 1368.50 --> - 0.5 10:08

Long ES @ 1368.25

large size

<Spartan> Long ES @ 1368.25 -> small size «« paper »» 10:09

triple bottom?

1 min

<V_trader> Long YM @ 12559 -> small size 10:10

<eminitrader> Exited all ES Long @ 1369.25 --> + 1 10:11

sitting it out..

<V_trader> Exited Remainder YM Long @ 12559 --> 0

<szubaark> starting to breakdown lower 10:12

<eminitrader> needs to brek 1366 ..yest key supp

<startrader> Have 38% of yesterday's move and 15 and 60 min ivb highs at 67.25. 10:13

<eminitrader> Long ES @ 1367.50

6 tick stop 10 lot

<V_trader> Shorts YM @ 12558 -> large size

Long YM @ 12558 -> large size

<eminitrader> nice area ...good for a b/o to the long if it does happen 10:14

<V_trader> Exited Remainder YM Long @ 12488 --> - 70 10:15

<Spartan> Exited all ES Long @ 1366.25 --> - 2 «« paper »»

<startrader> Long ES @ 1366.75 10:16

<V_trader> 12548 -10

<eminitrader> if this breks look for 1358 area for supp on the SP 10:17

<Spartan> Shorts ES @ 1366.50 -> medium size «« paper »»

<eminitrader> Exited all ES Long @ 1366 --> - 1.5 10:18

<startrader> Exited all ES Long @ 1365.75 --> - 1

Shorts ES @ 1367.25 10:24

<NihabaAshi> I'm going to remain bearish until new intraday highs is made. 10:28

<Spartan> Covered all ES Short @ 1368.25 --> - 1.75 «« paper »»

Long ES @ 1368 -> small size «« paper »» 10:30

Exited all ES Long @ 1366 --> - 2 «« paper »» 10:32

<startrader> Covered all ES Short @ 1365.25 --> + 2 10:36

Long ES @ 1364.50 10:38

Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1367.50 --> + 3 10:41

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1367.75

<Spartan> Shorts ES @ 1368 -> medium size «« paper »» 10:45

<eminitrader> Covered all ES Short @ 1367.75 --> 0 10:47

<startrader> Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1368.50 --> + 4 10:48

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1368.75

large size

<startrader> Shorts ES @ 1368.25 -> small size 10:53

69.25

<Spartan> Covered all ES Short @ 1370 --> - 2 «« paper »» 10:54

<startrader> Shorts ES @ 1370.00 -> Add 10:55

<KN-ES> Long ES @ 1370 11:01

s.l 69 11:02

Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1372 --> + 2 11:04

Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 1371 --> + 1 11:06

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm

<szubaark> tricky price action today 11:10

<KN-ES> Exited ES Long @ 1371.75 --> + 1.75 11:12

Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 1371.75

Covered ES Short @ 1371.75 --> 0 11:14

Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1371.75

Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1372.25 --> + 0.5

its not going anywhere 11:15

<szubaark> looks like they packed for the weekend already, its nice in Chicago today

<Spartan> Shorts ES @ 1372.25 -> medium size «« paper »» 11:16

<szubaark> possible frikin Triple Top 11:19

<KN-ES> Exited ES Long @ 1372.25 --> + 0.5

Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 1372.25

Covered all ES Short @ 1372 --> + 0.25 11:20

.......offffffffffff

Long DAX @ 6313 11:21

Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6314 --> + 1

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6315 --> + 2 11:22

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6816 --> + 503

humm

Long DAX @ 6813

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6817 --> + 4 11:23

h1

add 6815

out 1/2 6815 6819 + 4.00 11:24

out 1/4 6815 6818 + 3.00

out 2 6815 6821 + 6.00 11:25

<werner> hi all

<jsbach_> hello

<KN-ES> out rest 6815 6820 + 5.00

s.l 6814 11:27

+ 1.00

addd 21

<Spartan> Covered all ES Short @ 1373.75 --> - 1.5 «« paper »»

<KN-ES> aout 1/2 23 + 2.00

1/4 25 +3.00 11:28

2 26 + 5.00

1 29 + 8.00 11:30

last 21 33 + 12.00 11:31

Exited all DAX Long @ 6828 --> + 15 11:32

Long DAX @ 6827 11:33

Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6828 --> + 1

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6830 --> + 3 11:34

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6832 --> + 5

sl 26

h2 11:35

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6837 --> + 10 11:39

h 1

Exited DAX Long @ 6833 --> + 6 11:40

Reverse and Enter Short DAX @ 6833

<Nesi> Shorts ER2 @ 716.30

<KN-ES> Covered 1/2 DAX Short @ 6828 --> + 5 11:41

Covered 2C DAX Short @ 6827 --> + 6

s.l 34

Covered 1C DAX Short @ 6825 --> + 8 11:43

h1

s.l 33 0.00 11:44

Covered DAX Short @ 6822 --> + 11 11:54

Reverse and Enter Long DAX @ 6822

Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6824 --> + 2 11:55

s.l 20

Exited DAX Long @ 6821 --> - 1

Reverse and Enter Short DAX @ 6821

Covered 1/2 DAX Short @ 6817 --> + 4 11:56

Covered 1C DAX Short @ 6816 --> + 5

Covered 1C DAX Short @ 6818 --> + 3 11:57

h2

<NihabaAshi> Shorts ER2 @ 715.00 -> small size

<KN-ES> sl 23 11:58

sl 23.50

<NihabaAshi> intuition and 1 only

<KN-ES> Covered DAX Short @ 6818 --> + 3 12:00

Reverse and Enter Long DAX @ 6818

s.l 15

Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6821 --> + 3 12:02

Exited DAX Long @ 6818 --> 0

Reverse and Enter Short DAX @ 6818

s.l 21 12:03

<Spartan> Shorts ES @ 1372 -> medium size «« paper »» 12:04

<KN-ES> hit and out

Long DAX @ 6819 12:05

Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6821 --> + 2 12:06

Exited all DAX Long @ 6819 --> 0

Shorts DAX @ 6819 12:07

2

Covered 1/2 DAX Short @ 6816 --> + 3 12:08

s.l 19

hit and out 12:09

<NihabaAshi> Covered ER2 Short @ 716.10 --> - 1.1

<KN-ES> Long DAX @ 6819

<Spartan> Covered all ES Short @ 1374 --> - 2 «« paper »»

<KN-ES> Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6822 --> + 3

s.l 16 12:10

Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6824 --> + 5

h1

* codehead_afk is now known as codehead

<NihabaAshi> Long ER2 @ 717.10 -> small size 12:11

2 only

<silo> intuition?

<NihabaAshi> sounds good to me 12:12

[10:28] <NihabaAshi> I'm going to remain bearish until new intraday highs is made.

<KN-ES> Exited all DAX Long @ 6830 --> + 11

Shorts DAX @ 6828 12:13

s.l 31

Covered DAX Short @ 6829 --> - 1 12:15

Reverse and Enter Long DAX @ 6829

<NihabaAshi> Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 718.30 --> + 1.2

<silo> oh no! kn-es' first negative trade?

:D 12:16

<KN-ES> Exited 1/2 DAX Long @ 6834 --> + 5

sl 25

huge vol 12:18

<V_trader> Shorts YM @ 12651 -> large size 12:19

<robert> Shorts ES @ 78 12:20

<NihabaAshi> volatilityh contracting 12:21

something is gonna give here soon

<silo> i'm guesssing it's down :P 12:22

just a guess though hehe

<NihabaAshi> looks like its gonna "first" try down

<silo> anyway, back to futures broker research 12:23

:P

<jsbach_> silo: did you look into the one i recommended?

<V_trader> Covered 2/3 YM Short @ 12641 --> + 10

<brotherofjared> Shorts ES @ 718.4

<V_trader> exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 12651

<brotherofjared> ER2

<silo> which one 12:25

openEcry?

or mirus?

quick pullbaack is over 12:30

:P

<KN-ES> <NihabaAshi> looks like its gonna "first" try down

silo......you are a little bit late

:) 12:31

<jsbach_> mirus. but again, as a new trader, i can't offer you any comparisons b/c all i know is mirus, but i can tell u that their engine is quick and feed is reliable, platform is nice, etc. good service, etc.

<NihabaAshi> Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 718.00 --> + 0.9 12:32

<silo> lol 12:33

sorry kn

i'm not in this trade that's why

<jsbach_> also it's worth noting that the charting which comes with ninjatrader is ideal for price action trading

<silo> researching brokers

i just saw brother's short still in there

so i just wanted to make sure he doesn't hold on to it for a long time hehe

<robert> Covered all ES Short @ 78.25 --> - 0.25 12:36

<silo> anyone got the commissions rate for OpenECry or InfinityFutures? i can't find them on their web site

<NihabaAshi> Long ER2 @ 718.30 -> small size

2 only

<Nesi> 4.80 RT

<NihabaAshi> intuition 12:38

<KN-ES> Exited 1C DAX Long @ 6839 --> + 10 12:39

h1

<NihabaAshi> Geeesh :(

<V_trader> Shorts YM @ 12657 -> large size 12:40

we may get one one stop run and thats it (i think) 12:41

<NihabaAshi> I can't put off not eating lunch too much longer...I'm starving. 12:43

Looking to dump this to go eat

Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 719.00 --> + 0.7 12:44

exit stop raised ER2 @ 718.40 12:45

If my trailing stop is hit...I'll post a late trade result when I return from lunch 12:46

* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away

<V_trader> Covered 2/3 YM Short @ 12647 --> + 10 12:50

exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 12657

Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 12657 --> 0 12:55

<KN-ES> s.l 30 + 1.00 13:08

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm 13:10

<jsbach_> We are about to get into the 1400s. 13:36

i think the market is done ranging and is now trending 13:37

<KN-ES> what happen here! 13:38

<jsbach_> Server split 13:40

It used to happen all the time about 5-10 years ago 13:41

I haven't seen a server split in ages.

<talickca> morning 14:13

<jsbach_> morning 14:15

<KN-ES> hit and out 14:19

Exited all DAX Long @ 6830 --> + 1

done. 14:20

* NihabaAshi_away is now known as NihabaAshi 14:24

<NihabaAshi> Late trade post of a trade executed @ 12:49:14 pm est while I was gone... 14:25

Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 718.40 --> + 0.1

Missed a good entry. 14:36

@ 715.30 for a Long 14:37

<szubaark> Buys ES @ 1377.75 «« paper »» 14:40

<NihabaAshi> That 715.30 is also a weak support area 14:41

<szubaark> Exited all Long ES at 1378.25 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 14:49

<NihabaAshi> Long ER2 @ 717.10 -> small size 14:50

3 only

intuition

volatility too low and flat lined to do any useful volatility analysis 14:53

Exited ER2 Long @ 716.10 --> - 1 14:59

Shorts ER2 @ 716.10 -> small size 15:02

3 only 15:03

Another support level 15:06

Pin Ball Machine price action 15:08

Covered 2/3 ER2 Short @ 713.90 --> + 2.2 15:10

<KN-ES> Long DAX @ 1373 -> small size 15:14

not dx

Long ES @ 1373 -> small size

<jsbach_> Niha, my reading has been paying off

<KN-ES> s.l 71 15:15

<jsbach_> I called an ES scalp @ 1378 like 8 minutes ago

not in the channel, but...i saw it coming! :) 15:16

<NihabaAshi> I didn't see this coming :)

I was only looking for a few tick profits. 15:17

Got a lot more than my profit target

<jsbach_> i'm so proud of myself for reading your material so diligently, re-reading the parts I didn't understand all day. I have been re-reading so much that I've been reading since yesterday and I'm still on chapter 2

<tim_a1> what material is that, jsback? 15:18

jsbach

<jsbach_> tim_a1: Wrong window, sorry!

<tim_a1> ? 15:19

<NihabaAshi> This weak support area has gotten a little stronger 15:21

710.30 is the next support area via the 5min chart 15:22

However, 711.80 is the price that must hold to keep this support area 15:23

<jsbach_> i believe I see what you're talking about

<KN-ES> 73.50 fill

<NihabaAshi> If it drops that low...good area for my to cover my remainder

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 711.90 --> + 4.2 15:26

It's probing that 711.80 price area

Long ER2 @ 712.10 -> small size 15:28

1 contract only

intuition

I think I've only done 2 pattern signal trades today...the rest have been intuition trades. 15:29

<jsbach_> lack of signals, or have you been busy/distracted? 15:30

<NihabaAshi> Distracted big time

<jsbach_> hehe

<KN-ES> Long ES @ 1375 -> Add 15:31

nop

<NihabaAshi> Exited ER2 Long @ 713.20 --> + 1.1

<KN-ES> Long ES @ 1373 -> Add

<NihabaAshi> correction 15:32

My entry on that Long was actually 712.20

Thus, the profit is only +1.0 15:33

jsbach...today I had to watch the kids for about 2 hrs while the spouse had to go to the dentist for oral surgery 15:34

<jsbach_> I was at dentist for oral surgery on Friday of last week. I got 3 widsom teeth removed. I have been in pain off and on all week. 15:35

feeling fine at the moment though

thankfully! 15:36

<NihabaAshi> Another distraction I had was I had to call the Canada Revenue tax folks about something called UCCB (Universal Child Care Benefit).

Just a normal trading day for me with the kids running around :) 15:37

Can't wait for them to get older and I get a real office away from home :)

<jsbach_> Something to look forward to

<NihabaAshi> When that happens...I'm going to be trading much larger position size because I'll be more focus for trading. 15:38

<jsbach_> Not a creature is stirring here where I'm at. haven't heard a sound in over 12 hours. Of course, it's also approaching 5am here which might explain the absense of noise.

<NihabaAshi> :)

<jsbach_> hehe

<NihabaAshi> ER2 retesting that 711.80 support area 15:39

I'm surprised it has fallen through it by now because other key markets are in sync together for further declines 15:40

<jsbach_> Nihaba: i read somewhere that you prefer Eurex 15:47

it's interesting, eurex opens at my 3pm i believe 15:52

and then globex at my 10:30pm

and hang seng opens at my 8am i'm guessing 15:56

<NihabaAshi> jsbach...yes

My favorite trading instrument is the DAX, FTSE100, CAC40 15:57

EuroFX is also up there on my list.

Unfortunately I can't trade them due to family because it would require me to get up about 1am est to properly prepare to trade them

<jsbach_> potentially, i could work from 8:30am--4pm, trade eurex from 4:15pm---10:00pm, globex from 10:30pm---3am....sleep from 3am---8am...and repeat. 15:58

<NihabaAshi> :)

I was doing that when I was single and young :) 15:59

<jsbach_> lol

if i wasn't at work from 8am-4pm i could trade HSI

well, glad to know i'm following in your footsteps

at least i'm trying...should be another month or two before i get off simulation 16:00

i lost a couple of trades so i went back to sim 16:01

<werner> gn all 16:14

<jsbach_> gn 16:16

<tim_a1> 4 days of chop 16:17

<NihabaAshi> Take care all and have a good weekend 16:33

* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away

Trading Edge:
Strategies
If your an independent trader looking for an edge to help you traverse around obstacles to profitable trading...a method that's well defined, gives you a better understanding of the markets, applicable for day trading, position trading, swing trading, market seasonal tendencies, position size management, intermarket analysis with a money back guaranteed policy...click here.

Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI)

WRB Analysis

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#FuturesTrades past logs can be searched via using Google. For example, pretend you want to research what has been said about volatility analysis. Go to the Google search window below and type in "volatility analysis" site:thestrategylab.com (exactly as I typed it including the quotation marks) and you will find everything associated with those key words that were used by any member of #FuturesTrades.


We are proud to say that our chat room members are from the following geographical areas in the world:

Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:

CME Emini Futures EMD, ER2, ES and NQ

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC and ZG

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about any of the above commentary, specific trades et cetera...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.