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April 3rd Monday 2006 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting chat room on the IRC Othernet server that allows traders from all over the world to communicate.

Click here for the instructions on gaining access to #FuturesTrades.

In addition, NihabaAshi is the only trader in #FuturesTrades that represents TheStrategyLab.com strategies.

Further, you'll find below the chat room text log of realtime trades that were posted by full-time, part-time traders from around the world and the timestamp is eastern standard time (est). 

Also, you should read NihabaAshi's trading blog like comments (posted below after the trade posts) because sometimes the commentary will contain trading tips that are more useful than what you will see at any other futures blog.

 Session Start: Mon Apr 03 05:18:41 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades05:18
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<NihabaAshi> Good morning all...I'm going to password protect the room for awhile due to the fact that there were too many complaints about new members that were LURKING and not participating.05:19

If you can't get back in after leaving the room...05:20

To get the password just follow the instructions at http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm05:21
* Retrieving #futurestrades modes...
<NihabaAshi> Ok...that's done...see all around 0930am est.05:23
* DisconnectedSession Close: Mon Apr 03 05:24:01 200605:24
 Session Start: Mon Apr 03 09:36:26 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:36
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm

#FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)
<NihabaAshi> Room will by light in here because the new password for the month was posted over the weekend at http://p207.ezboard.com/fthestrategylabfrm8809:42
<pat255> yeah...thks niha09:43

shorts trap
<NihabaAshi> :(09:49

Missed my Short entry at 769.2009:50
<WannaBeBOS> too much spam niha?09:51
 :)
<NihabaAshi> Kind'uv.09:52

I just want some of the new visitors to understand that LURKING is not allowed.09:53

If someone can take the time to read the trade posts and discussions in here...

They have time to post at least one trade per day or participate in one trade discussion.
<pat255>  not much up mojo either though..09:54
 so far, er is slicing through support levels but more ahead..09:55
<NihabaAshi> I'll reopen the room again...maybe next week.
<les>  Long ER2 @ 768.5 «« paper »» 09:56
<WannaBeBOS> sounds good

i like the pure room
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 769 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 09:58
  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 769.4 --> + 0.9 «« paper »» 10:00
  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 768.6 --> + 0.1 «« paper »»
<pat255> construction spending .8 vs .5 exp...10:03
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 770.30 -> small size 10:04
 I think I just stole a great Short entry :)
<pat255> looks like niha...10:05
<NihabaAshi> As long as ER2 doesn't follow ES and YM right away...I should be ok.
<pat255> es hh dang ...
<NihabaAshi> Any small pullback in ES or YM should give me about 5 tick profits on this short...
<les> well i'm hoping it hurts its head on the 200ema, 2min10:06
<NihabaAshi> If not...I'll dump it fast.
<les> i'm wanting in short here too
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 770.80 --> - 0.5 10:10
  Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 770.80
  Exited all ER2 Long @ 771.00 --> + 0.2 10:11
<pat255>  market keeps poppin with oil

<AnnaInVA> but
<NihabaAshi> My oil index isn't working today :(
 In fact...none of my indexes are working today :(10:12
<pat255> :(
<NihabaAshi> Ooops...they just started working.
 Yet, there's a huge gap of missing data between 0930am to 1010am est.
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 770.4 «« paper »» 10:14

Covered all ER2 Short @ 771.5 --> - 1.1 «« paper »» 10:21

soryy, late
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 772.10 -> small size
 Hesitated on that entry and it cost me 3 ticks.10:22
  Exited all ER2 Long @ 773.50 --> + 1.4 10:26
<pat255> vn niha10:27
<NihabaAshi> So far...nothing worth putting on some size.
 Had that losing short worked...I would have added to the trade a large size.
 Simply, I have a Bearish Bias today and so far my bias is wrong.10:28
<les>  Long ER2 @ 773.7 «« paper »» 10:31

Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 774.2 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 10:33
<Fleneer> short ES 1314.00 paper10:39
<pat255> dang got disconnected ..10:45
<Fleneer> stopped out 1315.50
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 774 --> + 0.3 «« paper »»
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)10:49
<les>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 773.3 --> - 0.4 «« paper »»

wrong10:50

Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 773.5 --> - 0.2 «« paper »»
* les is now known as lesAway
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 773.50 -> small size 10:51
<Fleneer> short ES 1315.00 paper
<NihabaAshi> Looking for a minimum of 5 ticks on this trade.10:52

Hmmm...pattern is now changing from bearish to some stability with those small real bodies.10:56
<Fleneer> out 1314.5010:58
<jperl>  Shorts ER2 @ 773 11:03
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 772.40 --> + 1.1
<jperl>  Covered ER2 Short @ 772.50 --> + 0.5 11:04
<pat255> wow er in red ..amazing11:08
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 771.10 -> large size 11:09

crap :(

Trade error...looking to dump this position.11:10

That's an entry at 772.1011:11

Will correct but still looking to dump the position...its a trade error.11:12

Shorts ER2 @ 772.10 -> large size

Covered ER2 Short @ 772.80 --> - 0.7 11:20

Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 772.80
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1316.25 --> + 2 11:25
<NihabaAshi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 774.10 --> + 1.3 11:26

I'm done for the day.
<eminitrader> catch the early move niha ?
<pat255> nice niha to recover ...staying put ..was earish but this move proved me wrong
<NihabaAshi> That trade error I did was unusual and usually occurs when I have a mental lapse.11:27
<pat255> we all go tru that..
<NihabaAshi> If I trade this afternoon...it will only be via paper trading.
 pat255...I didn't want to dump that problematic Short until I got a Long signal to reverse the position.11:29
 That Long signal appearred at 772.60 and I was able to reverse it from a Short into a Long @ 772.8011:30
 My exit out of the Long position was at a WRB pt1 level.
<pat255> i learned something from u this reverse ..rather than just taking loss..pans out many times
<NihabaAshi> Everything worked out ok via the lucky appearence of that Long signal at the right time.11:31
<eminitrader>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1314.25 11:32
<NihabaAshi> Reversing trade positions is tricky...I try to only do it when I'm at a loss and then get another trade signal into the opposite direction.
 If I don't get that other trade signal...
 That's when my stops get hit for anywhere between -0.7 to -2.0011:33
 Depending upon the pattern.
<pat255> hmm k will keep that in mind...ty
<Fleneer> short ES 1315.50 paper11:34
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)12:01
<lesAway>  Long ER2 @ 771.1 «« paper »» 12:18
* lesAway is now known as les
<pdays>  Long ER2 @ 771.0 «« paper »» 12:20
<les>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 771.1 --> 0 «« paper »»

entry mistake, so killed it12:21
<pdays>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 771.2 --> + 0.2 «« paper »» 12:27
<les>  Long ER2 @ 770.1 «« paper »» 12:48

Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 770.6 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 12:58
<Fleneer> out ES 15.50 BE12:59
<les>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 769.9 --> - 0.2 «« paper »» 13:04
* les is now known as lesAway
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)13:13
<eminitrader>  Trailing Stop Hit ES @ 1314.25 --> 0 14:04
 late post
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)14:25
<Fleneer> 1312.50 = .382 retrace that down leg. short 1312.0015:15
 out 1311.00 +1.0015:31
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY)15:37
<pat255> c u all later ty16:18
<WannaBeBOS> CU niha16:25
<Fleneer> I was really smart on my ES 1312.00 fib short. out at 11.00 for a point and market went to LOD at 07 and change.16:28
<NihabaAshi> Just got back...take care all and see all tomorrow.16:29
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away16:30
* DisconnectedSession Close: Mon Apr 03 17:16:53 200617:16
Sponsors: QCharts   #FuturesTrades Info ->   Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY) 
  
Trading Blog Below is not your traditional trader's blog in the usual blog format. However, you will find informative commentary that on a few occasions will contain trading tips that should help your trading as I attempt to sum up my thoughts as I traversed from the first trade to the last trade that was posted above in #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting chat room. 

 

 

 

 

 

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Reversal Trading

Someone from EliteTrader.com recently asked me if I was a reversal trader.  I replied by saying that I don't make the mistake of trying to apply one trading style to all market conditions because that's the fastest route to draw downs (consistent losses) periods.

Instead, I prefer to be more diversified in my market approach via being a trader that trades trend continuation patterns, reversal patterns, divergence patterns and counter-trend patterns.

However, if I decide to trade a counter-trend signal...I'll reduce my position size to control the increased risk exposure.

Don't misunderstand...some traders can be consistently profitable via their one dimensional approach to the markets. However, their method is so good that it knows when to get them in the market and knows when to keep them out of the market.

Simply, a good reversal strategy will not give trade signals during trend conditions. Whereas in comparison, a poorly designed reversal strategy will give trade signals during trend conditions and experience consistent losses during trends.

Early today I was a reversal trader and had I traded the afternoon trading session I would have gotten bearish continuation pattern signals.

Today's results shown above are that of NihabaAshi only. To see his total accumulated points for the month of April...click here. To see results for the months of 2006 and prior years...click here.

Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)  

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We are proud to say that our chat room members are from the following geographical areas in the world:

Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures ES, NQ and ER2 

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Exchange Traded Funds SPY, QQQQ, IWM and DIA

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

Last of all, if you have any questions about either #EminiFutures general market chat room, #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting room or the two realtime strategy discussion rooms used by traders with access to our fee-based strategies called #TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

questions@thestrategylab.com

"The point of this whole exercise is to make money. Everything else is just conversation." --Jonathan Hoenig


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