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#FuturesTrades March 12th Wednesday 2008 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+26.20 +169.50 +938.00
$2,620 $16,950 $93,800

Profitable Trade

1529pm - 1558pm est

Losing Trade

1049am - 1052am est

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Key Trades of the Day (see chat log below)

Profit/Loss Statement

 

General Strategy Info: The above profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log. 

Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

  There is some subjectivity involved with some of my trades when I'm developing a new strategy (hence the name TheStrategyLab.com) that uses WRB Analysis.

In fact, many of my trades or profit targets will occur within key WRB support/resistance zones because these price areas gives me a better understanding of key changes in supply demand.

  Traditional pivot point analysis or traditional s/r levels are inadequate in understanding changes in supply/demand of the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 or any other trading instrument of today's markets in comparison to WRB Analysis.

WRB Analysis is also a key aspect in my use of intermarket analysis (ex. Oil and Gold), market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis and custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

Further, position size management is a key aspect of my trading and I trade any where between 1 to 9 contracts per trade depending upon the volatility, pattern signal, seasonal tendencies or intuition.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets so that I'll have a better understanding of ER2 price action. 

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Session Start: Wed Mar 12 09:29:16 2008Session Ident: #FuturesTrades
* Now talking in #FuturesTrades09:29
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<PapaJon> gm all
<pat15> gm all
<rickf> short es 1324.25 paper
 -> *Good* morning all09:30
<NihabaAshi> Good morning all09:31
<rickf> morning niha
<silo> morning
<werner> gm niha
<pat15> gm N
<Spartan> gm
<rickf> exit 1/2 es 1323 paper + 1.2509:32
<drt> gm everyone
<taku> gm niha09:34
<rickf> short es (add) av pos 1325.2509:36
<Spartan>  Shorts ES @ 1325.25 «« paper »» 09:39
<silo>  Shorts ER2 @ 675.50 «« paper »» 09:40
<rickf> exit 1/2 es 1324.25 +1 paper

exit remainder es 1323.50 +1.75 paper

short es 1323.75 paper09:41
<Spartan>  Covered all ES Short @ 1323.25 --> + 2 «« paper »»
<silo>  Shorts ER2 @ 674.50 -> Add «« paper »» 09:42

Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 673.30 --> + 1.2 «« paper »» 09:44

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 673.20 --> + 2.3 «« paper »» 09:45
<rickf> exit es 1320.75 +3 paper
short es 1321 paper09:46
<silo> man should've held tthat second half

NQ is coming down from its up channel
<rickf> yah no kidding
<silo> all the way from the top
<rickf> still not comfy holding for long time - doing in/outs for small set gains is more comfortable for me @ the moment09:47
at least i can MANAGE trades better now :)
<Spartan> suppot area for ES on 15 min chart right now

don't know if it will hold though09:48
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1319.25 «« paper »»
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 25 09:51

Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 23.50 --> + 1.5

Covered Remainder ES Short @ 20 --> + 5
<silo> boy oh boy09:52
<rickf> exit es 1318 +3 paper09:53

short es 1319.50 paper09:56

intuition
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm09:58
<rickf> exit es 1319.50 breakeven +0 paper10:01
<silo>  Shorts ER2 @ 670.80 -> small size «« paper »» 10:02
intuition
<rickf> grr there it goes :(

short es 1319 small size
<silo> :P
<NihabaAshi> weak support area here for ER210:03
<silo>  Shorts ER2 @ 699.20 «« paper »» 10:04
Shorts ER2 @ 699.20 -> Add «« paper »»
<Spartan>  Shorts ES @ 1318 «« paper »»
<silo> that was supposed to be an add
:P
oh yeah
:P10:05
Covered all ER2 Short @ 668.40 --> + 61.6 «« paper »»
wtf
oh oops
i typed it wrong
<rickf> exit 1/2 es 1316 +3 paper10:07

holding 2
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 668.0 «« testing »»
<silo> that's +3.2 for me from that last trade

punched the wrong numbers :P
<rickf> great trading morning10:08
silo - nice!
<silo> daily profit target reached :P
<rickf> i was in PPM for a while actually
<silo> hey sep3410:09
<rickf> though since the demo account expires soon I am being a tad adventurous at times
wont be trading real $$ until next week when i get back from a work trip, but my new acct is set up and funded10:10
<NihabaAshi> another weak support area
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1318 --> 0 «« paper »»
<Andy>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 668.5 --> + 0.5 «« testing »»
<Spartan> just couldn't hit my 131610:11
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 669.00 -> large size 10:15
<rickf> exited remainder es at breakeven +0 paper10:17
<NihabaAshi>  Exited 2/3 ER2 Long @ 670.10 --> + 1.1 10:20
<Spartan>  Shorts ES @ 1320.25 «« paper »»
risky one10:21
<NihabaAshi> No longer have support of Oil and Gold10:23

Simply, ER2 is on its own
<rickf> first time in a while i've had significant divergances between the 2 indicators i use for confirmations10:25
*shrug*
<NihabaAshi> oh oh10:26
<rickf> short es 1319.5010:27
paper
<pat15> petroleum report coming10:28
<NihabaAshi> Looks like the market is waiting for those EIA Petroleum Status Report numbers10:29
tightning up my trailing stop
<rickf> yah i forgot about them before entry . stupid.
<Spartan> oil getting a beat down10:31
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 671.30 --> + 2.3
<rickf> nice niha
<silo> nice
<Spartan>  Covered all ES Short @ 1320.25 --> 0 «« paper »» 10:34
that was an annonying trade
Long ES @ 1322 «« paper »» 10:37
<rickf> exited es 1322 -3.5pts paper10:41

lesson learned :(
<Spartan>  Exited all ES Long @ 1324 --> + 2 «« paper »»
finally10:42
<NihabaAshi> weak resistance area for ER2
<rickf> short es 1323.75 paper small size10:44
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 673.80 -> medium size 10:49
<Spartan>  Long ES @ 1324 «« paper »»
Exited all ES Long @ 1326 --> + 2 «« paper »» 10:51
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 674.80 --> - 1 10:52
<TraderO>  Shorts ER2 @ 674.8
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 675.00 -> medium size 10:55
<Spartan> My trading goal for the day has been reached since it is a half day for me. Looking for VERY ideal setups only now.10:56
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 675.60 --> - 0.6 10:58

Long ER2 @ 676.00 -> medium size 10:59
<silo>  Long ER2 @ 676.70 -> medium size «« paper »» 11:00
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 677.30 --> + 1.3 11:02
<RexV> ss ES 1327.25
<szubaark> Weird 2 sided action
<pat15> vn n
<RexV> scratch11:04
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 28 «« paper »» 11:06
<TraderO>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 677.8 --> - 3 11:08
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 30 -> Add «« paper »» 11:11
<silo>  Exited 2/3 ER2 Long @ 680.10 --> + 3.4 «« paper »» 11:12

support from oil and gold11:15

:P
  
Trading Edge: 

Strategies

If your an independent trader looking for an edge to help you traverse around obstacles to profitable trading...a method that's well defined, gives you a better understanding of the markets, applicable for day trading, position trading, swing trading, market seasonal tendencies, position size management, intermarket analysis with a money back guaranteed policy...click here.
   Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  
<szubaark> amazing runup since yersturday11:16
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 681.1 «« paper »» 11:17
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 32 -> Add «« paper »» 11:18
just playing around with s/r lines
<NihabaAshi> Make sure the FED, ECB and Bank of Canada gets a "thank you" card :)
<silo> lol
oil and gold still supporting
]this is ridiculous
<NihabaAshi> When the market is dropping...they are the blame game.

When the market is rising...no more hate mail :)11:19
<silo>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 681.10 --> + 4.4 «« paper »»
<Andy>  Covered 2/3 ER2 Short @ 680.6 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 11:21
<Spartan> nice silo11:22
<silo> THIS IS SPARTA!!!!!!

haha

thanks
<Spartan> exactly11:23
ever see 300? That battle is how I view trading the market. Spartan warriors/traders must be fearless in battle. I'm a little crazy, bare with me.11:25
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 680.2 --> + 0.9 «« paper »» 11:29
<robert>  Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 29.50 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 11:33
Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 29.25 --> - 1.25 «« paper »» 11:34
not calculating right, mostly b/e
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 30 = b/e --> + 28 - 30 = b/e «« paper »» 11:39
<pdays>  Long ER2 @ 679.8 11:40

Exited all ER2 Long @ 680.2 --> + 0.4 11:41
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm12:04
<pat15> later guys ty12:11
* Spartan is now known as Spartan_Away12:17
<rickf> short es 1325 paper12:26
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 676.30 -> small size 12:50
<rickf> exit 1/2 es 1320.50 +3.5 paper
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 677.30 --> - 1 13:00
<rickf> exit remainder es 1324.50 +.5 paper13:01

short es 1324.50 small size paper13:11
<szubaark> Nice entry rick13:13
<rickf> ty szu
<szubaark> ES looks like wants to pullback NQ ER giving problems13:22
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 678.30 -> small size 13:34
<szubaark> ES on its own13:40
<rickf> exit 1/2 es 1320.50 +4 paper13:41

holding 2
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 676.90 --> + 1.4
<szubaark> Nice Niha and rick13:42
<rickf> thx - makes up for that bad trade at 1030 :)
<TrDs> finally13:43
<szubaark> finally getting the pullback i was waiting for since the open
ES nicely Leading other indices TODAY13:44
<rickf> enjoy while it lasts :)
<szubaark> was looking for Pullback below 1310 First then Whack Overnight Stops above 133113:45
<tim_a1> totally schitzo action14:06
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm14:07
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 674.4 «« paper »» 14:15

Exited 3/4 ER2 Long @ 675.2 --> + 0.8 «« paper »» 14:16

Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 674.6 --> + 0.2 «« paper »» 14:25
<ItalianSharp> the treasury budget doesnt seem to have produced much volatility so far14:28
<szubaark> sometimes it does, sometimes it doesnt14:29

Im sure if were were around some major S/R area during the report we would have Volatility :))14:30
<silo> hey guys.... what's a good futures broker to use?14:43
<Andy>  Shorts ES @ 1323.25 «« paper »» 14:45
<rickf> i am starting with open ecry next week
their platform is pretty darn awesome imho
<Andy>  Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 1321.5 --> + 1.75 «« paper »» 14:46
<rickf> bee papertrading the oec client for 3 weeks and done rather well --- MUCH better than where I was
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1323 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» 14:50
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1323 --> - 3.75 «« paper »» 14:52
* szubaark is now known as szubaark_away
<rickf> k guys i'm out for the day. see ya tomorrow14:57
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 674.90 -> small size 15:08

Thats a Long

Long ER2 @ 674.90 -> small size

Exited ER2 Long @ 674.10 --> - 0.8 15:11

Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 674.10

Covered ER2 Short @ 674.70 --> - 0.6 15:13

Long ER2 @ 674.70 -> medium size 15:15
* sep34 is now known as sep34_away15:21
<NihabaAshi> Some chop but without the pin ball machine price action15:22

I spoke too soon :(15:23

There's that pin ball machine price action15:26

Exited ER2 Long @ 674.90 --> + 0.2 15:28

I held on to that as long as I could :(

Shorts ER2 @ 674.00 -> medium size 15:29

Should'uv had a Short around 674.3015:31

Covered ER2 Short @ 671.70 --> + 2.3 15:34

Holding 1 contract remainder15:35

This has a chance for a new intraday low15:45

If that happens...I'll be surprise considering I have a bullish bias still intact due to the FED, ECB and Bank of Canada infusion yesterday15:46
<codehead> 12100 YM is .500 retrace of the move from yesterday's low to today's high15:47
actually formt he retest of the low, which was 5 above the low, but basically talking about the continuous move up starting at change of trend15:48
<NihabaAshi> Surely this can't be related to the 2pm Treasury Budget15:50

4pm rush hour traffic up next15:52

Hopefully bargain hunters don't show up

I would rather see profit takers show up to protect their profits

tightning up my trailing stop just in case this pops to the upside15:53

ER2 new intraday lows...looks like the BEAR is trying to regain control.15:57

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 666.80 --> + 7.2 15:58
  
WRB Analysis
  
<werner> wosa nice16:00
<codehead> the .500 retrace level held, for to wihin 2 ticks16:03
<NihabaAshi> Some weird price action was occurring around that ER2 intraday low of 667.1016:04
Reason why I didn't hang around too long when it finally dropped below it.
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm16:10
<codehead> in the past, i've noticed weird action around 666
low was 666.30
may be superstitious traders16:11
<NihabaAshi> Take care and see all tomorrow16:47
* DisconnectedSession Close: Wed Mar 12 16:47:21 2008
  
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#FuturesTrades past logs can be searched via using Google. For example, pretend you want to research what has been said about volatility analysis. Go to the Google search window below and type in "volatility analysis" site:thestrategylab.com (exactly as I typed it including the quotation marks) and you will find everything associated with those key words that were used by any member of  #FuturesTrades.

  

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We are proud to say that our chat room members are from the following geographical areas in the world:

Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures EMD, ER2, ES and NQ   

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD  

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC and ZG

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about any of the above commentary, specific trades et cetera...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

 questions@thestrategylab.com

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