Trading Blog |
Below is not your traditional trader's blog in the usual blog format.
However, you will find informative commentary on a few occasions as time
permits and such will
contain trading tips that should help your trading as I attempt to sum up my
thoughts for the trading day.
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ER2 |
EuroFX EC |
+10.80 |
+0.0000 |
$1,080.00 |
$0.00 |
Trading Perspective
Profit/Loss
Statement
Volatility was difficult to trade today due to the fact
it had contracted more today in comparison to yesterday's volatility. However, trading conditions didn't improve until around
2:02pm est even though at first glance there was no reason for the increased
volatility.
Yet, after the markets closed I took a closer look at
the market via intermarket analysis and saw the culprit to
today's sell-off that began around 2pm est.
There was a big time bearish signal in the Gold markets around
1:30pm est that saw the volatility jump considerably around 2pm est.
Also, if you take a closer look at my last trade of the
day posted below around 4pm est...that's when the NYSE StreetTRACKS Gold GLD
closed along with the stock market except for the CME Emini futures like ER2
that trades until 4:15pm est.
In fact, StreetTRACKS GOLD GLD is also traded on the
Singapore stock exchange.
Anyways, upon closure of the U.S. stock exchange, a
bullish signal appeared from the
Trading Manual that I
was able to exploit for nice profits.
The question now is this, was that price action between
4:00pm - 4:15pm est a bullish indication of what will occur tomorrow going
into Friday's monthly unemployment report?
Therefore, if the price action is stable in the
overnight trading action for CME and Eurex futures...I'll have a bullish bias
and will do some size if volatility shows up with a pattern signal.
Finally, don't forget about the Yen and its impact on
the U.S. markets now that its the talk of the town.
Key news of the day
Today's results (real money and simulator
trading) shown above are that
of
NihabaAshi only. To see his total
accumulated points for the month of
March...click
here.
To see results for the months of 2007 and
prior years...click
here.
Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)
intradaystrategies@yahoo.com
Note:
Each month there are a few trading days that we consider to involve
interconnecting key price
action of different markets and such is represented by a particular type of
price action from one of the key markets. You can view the charts and their
clues that's associated with the
key price action at our
key market archives.
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#FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access
info...click
here. |
| Session Start: Thu Mar 08 09:25:25 2007Session Ident: #futurestrades |
* Now | talking in #futurestrades | 09:25 |
<X> | [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm |
<jperl> | ER2 VWAP data: | 09:27 |
| yesterday: 781.51 |
| 1 week: 778.27 |
| 1 month: 803.14 |
| 1 year: 749.75 | 09:28 |
<pat255> | ty jp | 09:29 |
<jperl> | yw | 09:30 |
<venedom> | big fut + | 09:32 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Shorts ER2 @ 789.6 «« paper »» | 09:33 |
| Shorts ER2 @ 790.6 -> Add «« paper »» |
<NihabaAshi> | Volatility Analysis is usually difficult on "roll over" days. | 09:35 |
| :( |
<pat255> | yes &the charts all screwed up too.. |
<ItalianSharp> | when will the june contract kick in? | 09:36 |
| next week? |
<NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 791.60 -> medium size | 09:37 |
<les> | Long ER2 @ 792.3 «« paper »» |
<NihabaAshi> | Sorry for the late post...I'm also Long the March contract :( |
<les> | Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 792.8 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» |
<NihabaAshi> | Dumped all the March...still Long the June contract. | 09:38 |
| Exited all ER2 Long @ 791.80 --> + 0.2 | 09:41 |
|
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| |
<ItalianSharp> | yep...the march contract is less liquid... | 09:43 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 791 --> - 0.4 «« paper »» | 09:44 |
| Covered all ER2 Short @ 790.6 --> - 1 «« paper »» |
| i got filled on that 790.6 on the first price touch, even though it didn't trade thru it, sometimes indicative of lower prices to come. or just a lucky fill | 09:47 |
<ItalianSharp> | I'm still a bit confused on what contract to trade |
| volume seems to be on both contracts...:( |
<RussellDaytrade> | june gives you more time, vol about equal now on both | 09:48 |
<ItalianSharp> | actually, the march contract is still more liquid so far |
| by a few hundred contracts... |
| i can't believe mankind is about to set up turistic trips to the moon for rich people and we are still dealing with this crap of switchin contracts every 3months... | 09:49 |
<venedom> | lol | 09:50 |
<les> | the moon might be where some of them belong... | 09:51 |
<ItalianSharp> | les: lol | 09:52 |
<les> | Long ER2 @ 790.6 -> Add «« paper »» | 09:57 |
<Chilly> | Shorts ES @ 1416.00 «« paper »» | 09:58 |
<les> | Exited ER2 Long @ 789.8 --> - 2.5 «« paper »» |
| Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 789.8 «« paper »» |
<NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 789.00 -> large size |
| I accidentally traded EuroFX EC for a small profit :) | 09:59 |
| Covered all ER2 Short @ 788.80 --> + 0.2 |
<les> | Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 789 --> + 1.6 «« paper »» | 10:00 |
<eminitrader> | Long ES @ 1415.75 | 10:01 |
| Exited ES Long @ 1416 --> + 0.25 | 10:02 |
| Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 1416 |
| Covered ES Short @ 1416.50 --> - 0.5 | 10:03 |
| Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1416.50 |
<les> | Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 789 --> + 0.8 «« paper »» | 10:05 |
<jperl> | ER2 VWAP 790.30 | 10:06 |
<eminitrader> | Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1418 --> + 1.5 |
<venedom> | I am back these internet conection is lousy |
<werner> | gm all | 10:09 |
<eminitrader> | Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1416.75 --> + 0.25 | 10:10 |
<X> | #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) | 10:12 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Shorts ER2 @ 791 «« paper »» | 10:14 |
| Shorts ER2 @ 792 -> Add «« paper »» | 10:17 |
<venedom> | Shorts ER2 @ 792.30 -> medium size |
| Covered all ER2 Short @ 791.80 --> + 0.5 | 10:19 |
<Chilly> | very late post, sorry .. virus attack .. running scans | 10:21 |
| Covered all ES Short @ 1417.00 --> - 1 «« paper »» |
<RussellDaytrade> | Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 791.2 --> + 0.8 «« paper »» | 10:25 |
<NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 791.20 -> small size | 10:26 |
| Shorts ER2 @ 791.70 -> Add | 10:27 |
| Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 791.20 --> + 0.5 | 10:31 |
| Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 792.00 --> - 0.8 | 10:36 |
| Long ER2 @ 792.70 -> small size | 10:40 |
<Chilly> | Shorts ES @ 1419.75 «« paper »» | 10:41 |
<NihabaAshi> | Exited ER2 Long @ 792.10 --> - 0.6 |
| Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 792.10 |
| Covered all ER2 Short @ 791.90 --> + 0.2 | 10:43 |
<venedom> | have to leave will try to comeback later gl all | 10:45 |
<NihabaAshi> | ER2 volatility has declined...I'm now expecting a volatility spike here soon. | 10:47 |
<Chilly> | Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.75 --> + 1 «« paper »» | 10:48 |
| Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1419.50 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» | 10:49 |
* codehead_afk | is now known as codehead | 10:51 |
<Chilly> | Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1419.75 --> 0 «« paper »» | 10:52 |
| Shorts ES @ 1419.00 «« paper »» | 10:53 |
<NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 791.80 -> small size | 10:56 |
| Shorts ER2 @ 792.30 -> Add | 10:58 |
| At 2 contracts now...I'm still not willing to risk much because of the difficulties in analyzing the volatility. | 10:59 |
<Brutus> | I'm seeing a bullish div in the ER |
<NihabaAshi> | I'm still NEUTRAL but becoming slightly bullish if this moves up a few more ticks to like 793.00 | 11:01 |
<pat255> | thks niha ..should not have traded today.. |
| got caught S & paid a price ...:9 | 11:02 |
<eminitrader> | Long ES @ 1419 |
| stops in ...be back |
<RussellDaytrade> | nice hangtime on the er this am. most likely resolve itself itself lower, in the final analysis | 11:10 |
<NihabaAshi> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 791.50 --> + 1.1 | 11:11 |
<RussellDaytrade> | big t of 785.8 or so | 11:12 |
<NihabaAshi> | The scripted combined the results of the 2 contracts. |
<Chilly> | Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.00 --> + 1 «« paper »» | 11:13 |
| Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.25 --> + 0.75 «« paper »» | 11:15 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 791.1 --> - 0.1 «« paper »» | 11:18 |
<eminitrader> | stopped out 1418.50...late post |
| Exited all ES Long @ 1418.50 --> - 0.5 |
<RussellDaytrade> | got filled that drop...hmmmgood thing for lower pcs? |
| somebody's happy to sell at that price | 11:19 |
<X> | #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) | 11:24 |
<RussellDaytrade> | bought a little clwr, will buy more on a scale down | 11:27 |
<jperl> | Not much action for me this morning..... | 11:31 |
| here are the trades.... |
| http://charts.dacharts.com/2007-03-08/JP ERL_011.png |
<NihabaAshi> | Not much worth trading today... | 11:36 |
| Best to keep the positions size managment on the small side of town. | 11:37 |
<eminitrader> | what a waste...and i'll be out tommorow :(( |
<Chilly> | Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1419.75 --> - 0.75 «« paper »» | 11:40 |
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<NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 792.80 -> small size | 11:46 |
| Hi hennessyxo...are you having connection problems ??? | 11:48 |
<hennessyxo> | seems so? |
<NihabaAshi> | I know asuni has connection problems in that if he's idle...he gets disconnected. |
<hennessyxo> | dont know why ... seems to be resetting quite frequently | 11:49 |
<NihabaAshi> | Anybody in here having connection problems...the Othernet people may be able to help in the #help room. |
| Exited ER2 Long @ 793.50 --> + 0.7 | 11:50 |
<pat255> | vn niha .. |
* Retrieving | #futurestrades modes... | 11:55 |
<NihabaAshi> | I've temporarily removed the password... |
<pat255> | k.. |
<NihabaAshi> | I'm just curious to see if hennessyxo and asuni continues having disconnection problems. |
| Shorts ER2 @ 792.10 -> small size | 11:56 |
| Position size error...I went 1 contract instead of 2 contracts. |
| Shorts ER2 @ 792.20 -> Add | 11:58 |
| ER2 volatility has declined...I'm expecting a volatility spike here soon. | 11:59 |
| Preparing to reverse my position or exit at a WRB pt level. | 12:00 |
| It's creeping and not spiking :( | 12:04 |
<AmazingJason> | perhaps this will be one of those creeper trend days |
<pat255> | niha u look at that to decide reverse | 12:07 |
<NihabaAshi> | WRB pt level now (792.10) but its a small one...will hold a little longer. | 12:09 |
<pat255> | niha u look at that to decide reverse | 12:10 |
| sorry ,,,reposed ..:( |
<NihabaAshi> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 791.80 --> + 0.7 | 12:14 |
| +0.40 and +0.30 = +0.70 |
| Might be time to redesign the trade post script :) | 12:15 |
| pat255... |
| I've been doing a lot of experimental trades of a "new edge" involving volatility analysis... |
<RussellDaytrade> | Shorts ER2 @ 792.6 «« paper »» |
<pat255> | i c...niha | 12:16 |
<NihabaAshi> | For now...when I'm in a trade and volatility declines after my entry...I tend to reverse when I see "actual prints" in the Time & Sales window on increasing size in the opposite direction. | 12:17 |
| There must also be faster prints and a WRB in the price action. |
| That's the reason why I didn't reverse that Short when price went against me... |
<pat255> | i c...would keep that in mind ...good point | 12:18 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 792 --> + 0.6 «« paper »» |
<NihabaAshi> | I didn't see a WRB, no increasing in size nor faster prints (price pressure). |
| Probably just a bunch of us retail traders grabbing a few ticks :) |
<pat255> | hmmm will reflect on what u said ...makes sense | 12:19 |
<NihabaAshi> | Thus, I try hard to reverse a position if I think there's institutional involvment. |
<pat255> | sure ...make sense will keep a T/S window open |
| ty niha |
| k guys back to office ty all.. |
<NihabaAshi> | It's hard on the eyes so make sure your T&S window is next to your trading instrument. |
| I've been getting more headaches the past few months because of such. | 12:20 |
<pat255> | yes ...will keep it next to the platform.. |
| lol |
| later guys ,,,gotta run to office |
<X> | #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) | 12:36 |
<Chilly> | Shorts ES @ 1419.25 «« paper »» | 12:37 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Shorts ER2 @ 792.3 «« paper »» | 12:42 |
| missed my preferred entry, may take some gas, preferenced at last putting on 1 short | 12:43 |
<Chilly> | Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.00 --> + 1.25 «« paper »» | 12:48 |
| Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.25 --> + 1 «« paper »» | 12:50 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 792.3 --> - 792.3 «« paper »» | 12:52 |
<Chilly> | exit stop set ES @ 1419.25 «« paper »» |
<RussellDaytrade> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 792.3 --> - 792.3 «« paper »» | 12:53 |
| flatted it. |
<Chilly> | Trailing Stop Hit ES @ 1419.25 --> 0 «« paper »» | 12:58 |
| ES not showing my remainders the love today :( |
<eminitrader> | had to have a day like this ....had it too good so far | 13:00 |
| specially feb |
<Chilly> | true.. jobs report Fri. AM may do something .. pre-market I believe | 13:01 |
<RussellDaytrade> | possibility of 2 more days up on this bounce |
<eminitrader> | like i said my charts read a strong sell off tommorow...may happen in the pm session or a trend down day....but high probability close below open... | 13:03 |
<RussellDaytrade> | what are basing that upon? | 13:04 |
<AmazingJason> | yeah i'm curious too |
<RussellDaytrade> | achieving a higher res level(s)? |
| mid 20's on the es? | 13:05 |
<eminitrader> | es and er at a level where u can expect strong res... |
<AmazingJason> | i was bearish in the morning, neutral now, but I won't fight it if it continues |
| you think we'll go down in this PM session, or are you referring to tomorrow's? | 13:06 |
<eminitrader> | looks like it'll push higher or stick in this range....if this happens then tommorow sure is a very high probability | 13:07 |
| this is today ---looks like it'll push higher or stick in this range... |
| again guys i have no crystal ball when i say tommorows close is lower than the open | 13:08 |
<AmazingJason> | i'd love for something to materialize, getting bored :) |
| i hope you're correct, i'm a perpetual bear | 13:09 |
<Chilly> | bear flag on larger times frames | 13:10 |
<AmazingJason> | perhaps it's a bull flag... |
<eminitrader> | most prolly wont happen today....but u never know :) | 13:11 |
<Chilly> | downside target 1368-69 |
| perhaps AJ |
<RussellDaytrade> | i know you gotta crystal ball in htere soemwhere! i am waiting for something that compels me to trade against. |
| whats next? a prostatre cancer etf??? | 13:13 |
| anybody watchin cnbc? |
<eminitrader> | it expect .it'll prolly test the lows ....and then have a rally around 1430-1440 before breaking the lows - prolly 1330-1350 area and then back to the 1500-50 ....now when and how this will pan out - idont know ...thats why i daytrade :)) | 13:14 |
| there we ho new highs on the er ...es shld follow shortly... | 13:15 |
| 794-798 - see very strong res on the er | 13:16 |
<RussellDaytrade> | so, lower lows, first, then a rally to 1500 / new yearly highs? |
<eminitrader> | yep ...my hypothesis |
<Chilly> | possible M shaped test of top if no new ES hi ... since we're batting around ideas |
<eminitrader> | yep that will end the 4 yr bull mrkt .. | 13:17 |
<RussellDaytrade> | i think i agree with first half of your outlook / ie, second leg down / failed new high(s) on this main bounce move... | 13:18 |
| wow, someone is cooking something, smells too good, chowtime. |
<eminitrader> | u got someone cooking for u ...wow :)) | 13:19 |
<Chilly> | EM are you seeing 1330-50 level as app. 50% Fib. retracement from Feb highs back to June lows? | 13:22 |
<eminitrader> | yes :)) | 13:25 |
| u use fibs too chilly ? | 13:26 |
<Chilly> | sorry, my mom called .. hard to get off the phone .. politely that is :) | 13:27 |
| um, starting to .. and starting to pay more attention to all levels of S&R .. Fibs + MA's | 13:28 |
<eminitrader> | k.. | 13:29 |
<Chilly> | and pivots .. but too much stuff might give me excuses not to take the trade .. (Mark Douglas book) :) | 13:31 |
| Shorts ES @ 1419.50 «« paper »» | 13:41 |
<eminitrader> | Long ES @ 1420 | 13:44 |
<X> | #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) | 13:48 |
<Chilly> | exit stop set ES @ 1422.50 «« paper »» | 13:49 |
<eminitrader> | Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1421 --> + 1 | 13:57 |
| Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1420.25 --> + 0.25 | 13:58 |
<Chilly> | If wrong on this small size trade, will still have paper $ for a paper pizza and paper soda for dinner ;) |
<RussellDaytrade> | Shorts ER2 @ 793.6 «« paper »» | 14:01 |
| Covered all ER2 Short @ 793.7 --> - 0.1 «« paper »» |
| late posts |
| not very inclined to fight it today, must be recharging, though it looks like this was the one worth bucking. | 14:02 |
<Chilly> | Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.25 --> + 1.25 «« paper »» | 14:04 |
<eminitrader> | Long ES @ 1418.75 | 14:06 |
<Chilly> | Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1418.75 --> + 0.75 «« paper »» | 14:10 |
| exit stop lowered ES @ 1420.25 «« paper »» | 14:11 |
| exit stop lowered ES @ 1419.50 «« paper »» | 14:12 |
| holding 1 |
<AmazingJason> | maybe you'll get your push down :) | 14:13 |
<Chilly> | M test of top "appears" to have triggered on ES 15M .. Target 1 hit | 14:17 |
<AmazingJason> | maybe we'll get a gap cover today lol | 14:18 |
| Shorts ER2 @ 783.7 -> small size | 14:20 |
<Chilly> | have a feeling longs will toast my final contract | 14:23 |
| especially if EM supersizes his order :) | 14:24 |
<AmazingJason> | push up here and i'll get out |
<Chilly> | yup, that's the pattern today .. at least for me |
| AJ you trading March? | 14:25 |
<AmazingJason> | oh |
| still on other contract | 14:26 |
| forgot to switch |
| hmm some stubborn suport here | 14:27 |
<Chilly> | exit stop lowered ES @ 1418.50 «« paper »» | 14:30 |
<AmazingJason> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 782.50 --> + 1.2 | 14:32 |
| think we'll see more downside |
| taking all off this support level | 14:33 |
<Chilly> | Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1414.50 --> + 5 «« paper »» | 14:34 |
<AmazingJason> | this was why i was bearish in the morning |
| just that there was no continuation, it had to go through this creeper, low volume bear flag at resistance | 14:35 |
| ok that's all for me today, good first day off of my vacation :) | 14:37 |
<Chilly> | c ya AJ |
| nice bounce .. yeeha | 14:41 |
<ItalianSharp> | just saw 118 cars bought at the ask in YM @ 12355 | 14:47 |
| that's over $600 per tick...ouch... | 14:48 |
| right now that guy who bought is down $3,600... |
<Chilly> | must be Berlisconi (spelling??) ;) |
<ItalianSharp> | well...maybe he covered his short position... |
| Berlusconi | 14:49 |
<Chilly> | thanks, sorry |
<ItalianSharp> | maybe |
| no problem...he's not my father...:) |
<Chilly> | he would probably have bought 118,000 cars | 14:50 |
<ItalianSharp> | yeah...lol |
| 118 cars is a lot of cash...and you need lots of liquidity to buy all those contracts at 1 single level |
<X> | #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) | 14:57 |
<RussellDaytrade> | nice whoosh. |
<ItalianSharp> | i think we might have seen the lows today | 15:01 |
| gap close postponed to tomorrow |
<RussellDaytrade> | at 9:12 this am i wrote, 'i have a big t of 785.8', looks like i was off again. |
<ItalianSharp> | yep RD...way off...lol | 15:02 |
| did you miss it by 3 ticks? |
<RussellDaytrade> | yes, at the time, the chart parameters did not allow /include that level of price dispaly, (the actual model was 785.12), so i 'wild-assed guessed it' / adjusted it a bit. close a fkn nuff! | 15:04 |
| possible 792 | 15:05 |
| volatility doesn't go on holiday for long! | 15:06 |
<sep34> | IS..on march 1 around the time YM reversed in the morning, lareg buy orders were going off and i remember a 286 lot or 386 lot order on T&S.. | 15:10 |
<ItalianSharp> | sep34: wow...did you tail those orders? | 15:12 |
<sep34> | No ......... |
<ItalianSharp> | how far did prices go from the price on the large prints? |
<sep34> | but, i waited for more confirmation | 15:13 |
| they were buying right into the sell off | 15:14 |
<ItalianSharp> | feeding off retail sellers |
<sep34> | if i remmember it was about 20-40 points.. | 15:15 |
| and then prices reversed |
<ItalianSharp> | that's enough on hundreds of contracts to be happy at the end of the day |
| sometimes i think about these large institutional traders who must buy/sell so many contracts | 15:16 |
| it's not an easy job to do |
| slippage is enemy #1 |
<sep34> | I keep seperate T&S windo for orders above 30 lots..just to keep track | 15:17 |
<ItalianSharp> | this is why most of this major moves occur around key swing points...lots of orders accumulated around there ----> lots of liquidity to place large orders |
<sep34> | agree, I also think they are good at it because its hard to follow there foot prints |
<ItalianSharp> | sep34, why do you filter out by 30lots? | 15:18 |
<sep34> | >30 lots...looking for clues |
<ItalianSharp> | dont you think that some of these guys might actually try to place a 100-lot order in 10 ten-contract lots |
<sep34> | patterns |
| yes and they do |
<RussellDaytrade> | so IS, does that T&S window scroll fairly actively thruout the day? you referring to the er or es, or other? | 15:19 |
<sep34> | but sometimes they can't resist |
<ItalianSharp> | i've been following ER and YM |
<RussellDaytrade> | i see my question should've been posed to sep34. | 15:20 |
<ItalianSharp> | ooppps...sorry RD | 15:21 |
| i didn't read WHO posted the question...:) |
<sep34> | RD..I was talking about YM | 15:22 |
<ItalianSharp> | it depends...it scrolls fast at the open, around news time...and usually when prices approach key S/R levels |
| sometimes it just goes off out of the middle of nowhere... |
| for instance, over the last 40 mins there's been lots of buying lookin at large prints | 15:23 |
<RussellDaytrade> | ok, sems like a useful tool to include. |
<ItalianSharp> | more buying than selling |
| i think it's useful but you need to figure out how to use it |
| let's say it's a good tool to use as a filter | 15:24 |
| this is how i am using it right now |
| i am not good enough to use it any other way yet |
<RussellDaytrade> | thx guys, looks like you both use the same info to varying degrees. | 15:25 |
<ItalianSharp> | but let's say you are planning to go short and you are seeing large prints at the ask in the T&S...well...you may wanna wait and see some large prints at the bid before going against large buyers |
| sep34: how do you use T&S? |
<sep34> | For me a lot times it helps to stay in a trade longer and other times it keeps me from taking a early stoploss because i see large orders going my way | 15:26 |
<ItalianSharp> | or for instance, let's say you are long and see large prints comin out at the bid...well, you may wanna cover some of your positions |
| sep34: yep, this is how i use it too | 15:27 |
| for better trade management |
| however, sometimes i just think buyers have my back and i am all confident...and prices still take my stop-loss...:( |
<NihabaAshi> | Just got back... | 15:36 |
| Anybody know what caused the price drop after 2pm est. | 15:38 |
| ??? |
<RussellDaytrade> | didn't hear anything specific related to it... | 15:39 |
<sep34> | i don't think it was news related |
<RussellDaytrade> | i think it may be latent volatility returning to mkt, perhaos some news attached to it, was wondering myself, even though i was also expecting it to drop, for whatever the reason. | 15:40 |
<NihabaAshi> | Ok...thanks. | 15:42 |
<Chilly> | gn folks | 15:43 |
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<NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 787.50 -> small size | 15:52 |
| 3 contracts only |
| Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 786.80 --> + 0.7 | 15:54 |
| Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 787.40 --> + 0.1 | 15:57 |
| :( |
| I was expecting that to drop much further going into the regular hours 4pm est close of stocks. | 15:58 |
| Long ER2 @ 788.40 -> small size | 15:59 |
| 2 contracts only |
| Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 790.00 --> + 1.6 | 16:01 |
| I'm glad I don't get "married" to my trades because I was bearish going into the 4pm est close of stocks. | 16:02 |
<werner> | gn all | 16:03 |
<RussellDaytrade> | Niha, i am curious whether you use an automatic position reversal one-click order entry mechanism in your trading? | 16:08 |
<X> | #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) | 16:09 |
<NihabaAshi> | Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 790.40 --> + 2 | 16:11 |
| That trade gave me my profit goal for the day. | 16:12 |
| Take care all and see all tomorrow. | 16:29 |
| My only pattern trade of the day was the last trade whereas all prior trades was pure "intuition trades" via a possible new edge. | 16:30 |
* NihabaAshi | is now known as NihabaAshi_away |
* DisconnectedSession | Close: Thu Mar 08 16:36:24 2007 | 16:36 |
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