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#FuturesTrades February 25th Monday 2008 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+30.20 +302.20 +719.70
$3,020 $30,220 $71,970

Profitable Trade

1425pm - 1429pm est

Losing Trade

1420pm - 1425pm est

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Key Trades of the Day (see chat log below)

Profit/Loss Statement

 

General Strategy Info: The above profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log. 

Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

  There is some subjectivity involved with some of my trades when I'm developing a new strategy (hence the name TheStrategyLab.com) that uses WRB Analysis.

In fact, many of my trades or profit targets will occur within key WRB support/resistance zones because these price areas gives me a better understanding of key changes in supply demand.

  Traditional pivot point analysis or traditional s/r levels are inadequate in understanding changes in supply/demand of the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 or any other trading instrument of today's markets in comparison to WRB Analysis.

WRB Analysis is also a key aspect in my use of intermarket analysis (ex. Oil and Gold), market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis and custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

Further, position size management is a key aspect of my trading and I trade any where between 1 to 9 contracts per trade depending upon the volatility, pattern signal, seasonal tendencies or intuition.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets so that I'll have a better understanding of ER2 price action. 

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Session Start: Mon Feb 25 08:39:13 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades08:39
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrad es.htm
<pat255> hi N
<NihabaAshi> Good morning all.08:40
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am not here on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday due to tax preparation reasons.
<werner> gm all09:09
<ripsboy> gm all...09:23
<ItalianSharp> morning all09:26
<Andy> gm all09:27
<futurible> gm all09:29
<drt> gm everyone
<PapaJon> gm all09:30
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 56.50 09:35
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 696.90 -> large size 09:36
Chop price action for the pending FED speech around 0950am est09:38
<robert>  Covered all ES Short @ 51.75 --> + 4.75 09:39
<Pepe> nice
<robert> ;-)
<ItalianSharp> yeah Niha...also existing home sales at 10am
back to back speech and report
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1352 «« paper »» 09:40
<futurible> Niha,why your short,please?
<Kn-Es> out 1/2 1363 1351 ........................ + 12.0009:41
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 694.60 --> + 2.3
Holding 1 contract
<pat255> vn guys09:42
<lumenPharmer> wtg
<Kn-Es> add 51

out 3/4 51 50 .................. +1.0009:43

out all 51.00 51.00 0.0009:44

s/l 53 ( + 10.00)09:53
<pat255> vn09:54
<szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1352 «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 693.40 --> + 3.5 09:55
  
Trading Edge: 

Strategies

If your an independent trader looking for an edge to help you traverse around obstacles to profitable trading...a method that's well defined, gives you a better understanding of the markets, applicable for day trading, position trading, swing trading, market seasonal tendencies, position size management, intermarket analysis with a money back guaranteed policy...click here.
   Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  
<pat255> vn n
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1348.50 --> + 3.5 «« paper »» 09:57
<Kn-Es> out last 1363.00 1348.00 ................................. + 15.0009:58

lng 50.5010:00

out 7/8 53.50 ............ + 3.00

out 1 52.50 +2.00

out 1 51.50 +1.0010:01

s/l 46.75

lng 467510:02
<robert>  Long ES @ 46.50
<Kn-Es> out 3/4 49.75 + 3.00
<robert>  Exited all ES Long @ 48.50 --> + 2
<Kn-Es> out 2 48.75 + + 2.0010:03

out 2 50.75 + 4.0010:04

s/l 45.75

tp1 +-55 tp2+- 5710:05

out 1 52.75 + 6.0010:08

s.l 49.75 ( + 2.00 )10:09

out last 46.75 56.75 ............ + 10.0010:12
<pat255> vvn
<Kn-Es> thanks

srt 56

2 con

out 1 55 +1.0010:13

s/l 57
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1355 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> lng 5610:18

3 con

out 2 57.00 +1.00

s.l 54
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 700.6 «« paper »» 10:21
<Kn-Es> lsrt 54.2510:23

srt

out 3/4 53.25 +1.0010:24
<szubaark> nice scalps Kn
<Andy>  Covered 3/4 ER2 Short @ 699.0 --> + 1.6 «« paper »»
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1355 --> 0 «« paper »» 10:25
<Kn-Es> thanks

out 54.50
<szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1355.50 «« paper »»
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 699.9 --> + 0.7 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> srt 55.50
out 56.5010:26
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1355.50] «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 700.30 -> small size
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1355.50 --> 0 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> lng 5510:27
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1355 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> out 7/8 56.50 +1.50
s.l 53
<NihabaAshi>  Exited 2/3 ER2 Long @ 701.60 --> + 1.3 10:28
<Kn-Es> out 1 57 ........ + 2.00
out 1 58.50 ........ + 3.5010:29
<NihabaAshi>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 703.30 --> + 3 10:31
<Pepe> very nice NIha
<Kn-Es> out 1 60 ........ + 5.0010:32

s.l 55.25

tp +-63
<pat255> tp?10:34
target
<Kn-Es> yes
<pat255> k
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 701.9 «« paper »» 10:47
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am not here on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday due to tax preparation reasons.
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 702.5 --> - 0.6 «« paper »» 10:48
<Kn-Es> out last 55 63 ............ + 8.0010:51
62.75 fill
srt 62.2510:52
2 con
s.l 64
srt 63.5010:56
add10:57
7/8 out 62.50 .......... +1.0010:58
out 3 62.53 +1.0010:59
s.l hit
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 702.9 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> srt 63.5011:00
<Andy> not a great entry
<Kn-Es> 3 con
s.l 65
<Andy>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 701.7 --> + 1.2 «« paper »» 11:01
<Kn-Es> out 1 62 ............ + 1.50
out 1 62 ............ + 1.00
62.5011:02
tp 59 +-11:04
<Andy>  Covered 1/4 ER2 Short @ 701.5 --> + 1.4 «« paper »»
<Pepe> nicve11:05
nice
<Andy> thanks Pepe
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 701.00 -> small size 11:08
1 only...a chaser
volatility contracting fast11:10
My late entry leaves me with no wiggle room11:12
<Kn-Es> add 61

2 con11:13
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 700.7 --> + 2.2 «« paper »»
<futurible1> vn Andy
<Kn-Es> Nice trade Andy
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 700.80 --> + 0.2
<Andy> thanks futurible, KN11:14
<NihabaAshi> :(
<pat255> vn guys ...totally out today...:(11:17
+ ofice distractions11:18
<NihabaAshi> Oil kicking butt today11:30
<Andy> tried to go short at 700.7 but did not get filled :(11:31
<Kn-Es> out 1 61.00 59.50 ............ + 1.50
<NihabaAshi> Eurex needs to hold the current support area or else we'll see further declines in the Eminis
<szubaark> Eurex u mean Dax?11:33
<NihabaAshi> All of them on Eurex :)
volatility contracting big time11:34
something will spike soon...up or down
<Kn-Es> out last 61.00 59.50 ............. +1.50

s.l 53.50

s.l 63.5011:35
<NihabaAshi> Geeesh...key markets contracting volatility together11:36
Shorts ER2 @ 699.40 -> small size
DAX spiking lower
ER2 fighting hard not to follow11:37
Just lost my Oil and Gold data :(11:38
<Andy> hadn't noticed the perfect little triangles forming in the dow, sp, and nas on the daily chart11:39

only er has broken down to the downside
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 2/3 ER2 Short @ 698.90 --> + 0.5 11:41
Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 699.10 --> + 0.3 11:42
I'm now officially in profit protection mode...11:43
1 contract only for the remainder of the trading day.
<pat255> vn n
<Pepe> nice
<Andy> vn n, agree11:44
<pat255> later ..ty all11:49
<Kn-Es> out last 63.50 58.50 ............... + 5.00
<robert> wtg kn11:50
<Kn-Es> thanks robert
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead
<Kn-Es> will stop hre

here

flu is killing me slowly11:51
<Tim_a1> i had very nast cold a few weeks ago11:54
<Kn-Es> :(11:55
<szubaark> on eminis, back to where we started LOL
<Kn-Es> srt 57

2 con11:56
<Tim_a1> over it now, hadnt had one like that in years
<Kn-Es> s/l 59

out 1 54.00 .............. +3.0011:57

tp 48.75 +-11:58

54.25 fill12:00
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 698.7 «« paper »» 12:15
Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 697.6 --> + 1.1 «« paper »» 12:17
<Pepe> nice
<Andy> gracias, Pepe :)
<szubaark> nice Andy12:18

IB just died here :((
<Andy>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 697.1 --> + 1.6 «« paper »»
thanks szu
<Pepe> IB is OK
<Andy> only got three off, holding 112:19
<futurible1> IB is OK
<Pepe> wow12:24
Nice short Andy12:25
<futurible1> vn Andy
<Andy> thanks guys
tight stop now12:28
Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 695.7 --> + 3 «« paper »» 12:29
<Kn-Es> cool
<Andy> appreciate it, KN
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1355 --> 0 «« paper »» 12:39

Buys ES @ 1355 «« paper »»
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 697.1 «« paper »» 12:42
<Kn-Es> Rev 54.5012:43

out srt ..54.50 + 2.5012:44
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 697.5 --> - 0.4 «« paper »»
<szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1355 «« paper »» 12:46
<Kn-Es> out 3/4 55.50 ................................ + 1.00
out 1 56.50 ................................ + 1.5012:47
56
out 1 56.50 ................................ + 2.0012:48
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 698.70 -> small size 12:50

1 only
<codehead> YM hit fib .382 retrace
exactly
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am not here on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday due to tax preparation reasons.
<NihabaAshi> Tough trade for me due to the fact I don't have access to some key charts due to data problems :(12:52
Tough to see problems in the price action that's important for my exits when things are wrong prior to my stops being reached.
<Kn-Es> out 1 57.50 ..................... + 3.0012:53
<szubaark> like a boxer with a hurt right hand, all you can do is Jab, stick n' move
<NihabaAshi> Yep12:54
<Kn-Es> s.l 53.50
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 698.60 --> + 0.1 12:55

Going to lunch..maybe things will be better when I return.
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
<szubaark> Volatility almost non-existant12:56

Exited all Long ES at 1355 --> 0 «« paper »» 13:01
<Kn-Es> out 1 59 ..................... + 4.5013:09
add 56.5013:15
2 con
<Andy> wow, did you see that print on er?13:23

had to be a program

or news?13:24
* sep34_ is now known as sep34_away
<Kn-Es> lng 54.0013:48

s.l 52
<pdays>  Long ER2 @ 695.8 13:51
<Kn-Es> out 3/4 56.00 ............. + 2.0013:52
<pdays>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 696.8 --> + 1
<Kn-Es> out 2 56.50 ............. + 2.5013:53

out 1 56 ............. + 2.0013:55

s.l 5413:56

(0.00)

tp1 57 +- tp2 58+- tp3 59+-13:58
* NihabaAshi_away is now known as NihabaAshi14:02
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 697.20 -> small size

:(14:04
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 697.2 «« paper »» 14:06
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 696.90 --> + 0.3 14:08

lucky exit because my entry was an error...saw something that really wasn't there
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 697.7 --> - 0.5 «« paper »» 14:09
<NihabaAshi> resistance area14:15
<Kn-Es>  out 1 58.00 ............ + 4.00
out 1 58.50 ............ + 4.50
sl 5514:16
(+ 1.00)
tp 60+-14:17
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 699.4 «« paper »» 14:19
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 699.60 -> small size 14:20
:(14:21
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 700.2 --> - 0.8 «« paper »»

:(
<NihabaAshi> ER2 moved fast
My resistance area is still intact...will sit tight a little longer14:22
<Kn-Es> add 56.7514:24

out 7/8 57.75 ........ + 1.00

out 2 58.75 ............ + 2.0014:25
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 700.70 --> - 1.1
Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 700.70
Pin Ball Maching big time
This is a news related price movement
<Kn-Es> out 1 63.75 ................. +7.0014:26
<codehead> MBI
<NihabaAshi> Don't know whast the news is...buts its moving it.
<Kn-Es> out last 54.00 68.00 ............... + 14.00
<intowin> glad about that got long on my 135614:27
<Kn-Es> srt 67
3 con
<NihabaAshi> geeesh
<Tim_a1> 4th attempt at crossing 200ma on $SPX 60 minute chart
<Kn-Es> out 2...... 65 ............+2.00
<Tim_a1> backtest help
held
<Kn-Es> s.l 69
<Tim_a1> on to 50 day ma?14:28
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 706.10 --> + 5.4 14:29

wow
<intowin> any word on news?
<Kn-Es> add srt 68 2 con
<silo> ambac i thi nk
<Kn-Es> s/l hit

srt 69 2 con14:30
<NihabaAshi> still going up...geeesh
<Kn-Es> out 1 68 ... + 1.00
<intowin> exited all at 1369.00 up 13 on that one..
<Kn-Es> s/l 70

srt 7014:31
<Tim_a1> 1370 es has been line in the sand for long time, big blast if break
<Kn-Es> 2 con

s/l 71
<Tim_a1> nice er back ther, nih
<Kn-Es> srt 6914:32

ut 3/4 67.50 ............. + 1.5014:33

out 3 68 +1.0

out 1 66 + 3.0014:34

s.l 6914:35

(0.00)
<NihabaAshi> Yep...price spike in futures directly related to MBIA and Ambac
<Kn-Es> tp1 +- 64 tp2 +-60

out 1 63.00 ........ + 6.0014:36

sl 68 ( + 1.00)14:37
<NihabaAshi> another resistance area14:38
Shorts ER2 @ 706.30 -> small size 14:39
<Kn-Es> tp 59+- ( + 10.00)14:41
<NihabaAshi> pin ball maching price action again14:43
It's done that 3 times today and each time it was followed by a strong directional price movement14:44
Covered ER2 Short @ 703.20 --> + 3.1 14:45
<Kn-Es> out last 59.00 ........... + 10.0014:46
<NihabaAshi> nice
<Kn-Es> :)

srt 61.2514:47

2 con

s.l 63

out 1/2 60.25 +1.0014:48

tp 58 +-14:49
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 704.4 «« paper »» 14:52
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 705.20 -> small size

sneaky little sucker...

Should'uv had a +0.7 tick better entry
<Kn-Es> lng 63.50
s.l 6114:53
<Andy>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 704.6 --> + 0.2 «« paper »» 14:54
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 705.30 --> + 0.1
Lucky exit...missing that 7 tick wiggle room is too much risk to take on this trade with the pin ball maching like price action14:55
<Kn-Es> otu 7/8 64.50 + 1.0014:56

out
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am not here on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday due to tax preparation reasons.
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 704.8 «« paper »» 14:57
<Kn-Es> rev 62.50
out 63.2514:59
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 705.7 --> - 0.9 «« paper »» 15:00
<Kn-Es> lng 63.75
out 7/8 64.75 + 1.00
out 1 65.25 +1.5015:01
out 1 64.75 + 2.015:02
tp1 67+- tp2 69+-
sl 61.25
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 705.90 -> small size 15:04

intuition trade...1 only
<Kn-Es> out 1 67.75 + 5.0015:06
+4
sl 63.75
( 0.00)
  
WRB Analysis
  
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 706.20 --> + 0.3 15:07

I gave it plenty of breathing room but it wasn't enough
<Kn-Es> srt 63.75
<ripsboy> Kn...that is some great trading...congrats..
<Kn-Es> thanks ripsboy15:08
<NihabaAshi> volatility showed up today when it matter the most15:09
<Kn-Es> out 64.7515:11
srt 63.7515:12
out 63.5015:13
not going anywhwere
srt 6415:14
lz
<Spartan>  Long ER2 @ 705.3 «« paper »» 15:15
<Kn-Es> out 7/8 63 +1.00
<Spartan>  Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 706.3 --> + 1 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> rev 64.5015:16
lz
out 7/8 65.50 +1.00
<Spartan>  exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 705.3 «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi>  #FuturesTrades Purpose -> No gurus, no head traders...you're here to document your own trades and thoughts as you traverse from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information you cannot get from your broker statements (real money or simulator)...use this room as your trade journal.15:17
<Kn-Es> out 1 65.50 + 1.00

sl 63.5015:19
<Nesi>  Shorts ER2 @ 706.50 15:22
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 706.6 «« paper »»
<Nesi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 707.00 --> + 0.5 15:23
Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 707.00
Covered ER2 Short @ 707.00 --> 0
Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 707.00
that is better
<silo> last reverse? "D15:24

:D
<Nesi> i made mistake
<silo> just teasing ya15:25

:P
<Nesi>  Long ER2 @ 707.50 -> Add
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 707 --> - 0.4 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> out 1 68.50 ............ + 4.0015:26
out 1 69.50 ............ + 5.0015:28
tp 73.25 sl 64.50
sl 65.50 (+1.00)15:29
<Spartan>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 708.8 --> + 3.5 «« paper »» 15:30
<Nesi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 708.50 --> + 2.5 15:31
Long ER2 @ 709.40
Exited ER2 Long @ 708.70 --> - 0.7 15:33
Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 708.70
<Kn-Es> add 68 2 con15:34
<Nesi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 709.40 --> - 0.7
<Kn-Es> out all 68.00 69.50 + 1.50

sl 66.50 ( + 2.00)15:35

add 6915:36
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 709.3 «« paper »»
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 709.2 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> 2 con
out all 69.00 7015:37
nop
tp for 69. 70
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 710.2 --> - 1 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> out all 69.00 71.50 .......... + 2.5015:38
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 710.4 --> - 1.1 «« paper »»
<Kn-Es> out last 64.50 74.50 .......................... + 10.0015:40
srt 7415:41
2 con
s.l 75.25
add 1 ocn 74.5015:42
con
s.l hit
srt 74.5015:44
out 7/8 73.00 + 1.5015:45
s/l 74.50
tight stop
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 711.1 «« paper »» 15:46
<Kn-Es> out 1 72.50 .......... + 2.0015:47
<Spartan>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 710.1 --> + 1 «« paper »» 15:49
<Kn-Es> tp1 70.50+- tp2 68.50+- tp3 65.50+-15:55
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 710.1 --> + 1 «« paper »» 15:57
<Kn-Es> sl 74.00 ( +0.50)15:58
out 1 71.50 .......... + 3.0016:01
out all 74.00 ............... + 0.5016:03
done for the day
good trading to everyone
<NihabaAshi> Great trading day and bye all16:11
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
  
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COMEX Metals Gold GC and ZG

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about any of the above commentary, specific trades et cetera...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

 questions@thestrategylab.com

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