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#FuturesTrades February 5th Tuesday 2008 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+23.90 +71.10 +488.60
$2,390 $7,110 $48,860

Profitable Trade

1026am - 1045am est

Losing Trade

1347pm - 1350pm est

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Key Trades of the Day (see chat log below)

Profit/Loss Statement

 

General Strategy Info: The above profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log. 

Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

  There is some subjectivity involved with some of my trades when I'm developing a new strategy (hence the name TheStrategyLab.com) that uses WRB Analysis.

In fact, many of my trades or profit targets will occur within key WRB support/resistance zones because these price areas gives me a better understanding of key changes in supply demand.

  Traditional pivot point analysis or traditional s/r levels are inadequate in understanding changes in supply/demand of the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 or any other trading instrument of today's markets in comparison to WRB Analysis.

WRB Analysis is also a key aspect in my use of intermarket analysis (ex. Oil and Gold), market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis and custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

Further, position size management is a key aspect of my trading and I trade any where between 1 to 9 contracts per trade depending upon the volatility, pattern signal, seasonal tendencies or intuition.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets so that I'll have a better understanding of ER2 price action. 

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Session Start: Tue Feb 05 09:27:28 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:27
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<Brutus> GM everyone09:28
<drt> gm all09:29
<Nesi> good trading all
<rickf> you too09:30
<PapaJon> gm all09:33
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 712.30 -> large size 09:38
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1356.50 «« paper »» 09:39
<NihabaAshi> my anti-vrus program just kicked in :(09:40
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1357
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 713.50 --> - 1.2
<startrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1358 --> + 1 09:41
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1358.25 --> - 1.75 «« paper »»
Buys ES @ 1358.25 «« paper »»
<KN-ES>  Long ES @ 58.25
<startrader>  Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1359.25 --> + 2.25
<KN-ES>  Exited 3/4 ES Long @ 59.25 --> + 1 09:42
<Nesi> pinball
<startrader> this action and levels give me the jitters. 57 handle is 62% of 1.31 lows. trying to hold it here.09:43
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 714.00 -> large size
<KN-ES>  Exited ES Long @ 56 --> - 2.25 09:44

Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 56
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1355.25
<KN-ES>  Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 55 --> + 1 09:45
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 713.80 --> + 0.2
<robert1>  Long ES @ 55.25 09:46
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 713.90 -> large size
volatility contracting
<startrader>  Exited all ES Long @ 1353.75 --> - 1.5
<NihabaAshi> pin ball machine price action too :(
<KN-ES> 1/5 out 53.50 + 2.50

1/5 out 54.00 + 2.0009:47

2/5 out 53.50 + 2.5009:48

s/l 56

s/l 5909:49
<ripsboy> gm all..
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 712.80 --> + 1.1 09:50
  
Trading Edge: 

Strategies

If your an independent trader looking for an edge to help you traverse around obstacles to profitable trading...a method that's well defined, gives you a better understanding of the markets, applicable for day trading, position trading, swing trading, market seasonal tendencies, position size management, intermarket analysis with a money back guaranteed policy...click here.
   Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  

:(
<KN-ES>  Covered ES Short @ 56 --> 0 09:51
Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 56
med sz
Exited 3/4 ES Long @ 57 --> + 1 09:52
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 714.00 -> medium size

Covered ER2 Short @ 714.70 --> - 0.7 09:54
<startrader>  Shorts ES @ 1359.75 -> large size
<KN-ES>  Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 59.25 --> + 3.25
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 715.00 -> medium size
<KN-ES> s/l 5709:55
<startrader>  Shorts ES @ 1360 -> Add
<robert1>  Exited all ES Long @ 60 --> + 4.75 09:56
<startrader>  Covered all ES Short @ 1361 --> - 2.25
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 716.80 --> + 1.8 09:57
<szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1362 --> + 3.75 «« paper »» 09:58
Exited all Long ES at 1362 --> + 3.75 «« paper »»
<startrader>  Shorts ES @ 1363.25 -> large size
<KN-ES>  Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 62.75 --> + 6.75
<szubaark> that was wrong
<startrader>  Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 1361 --> + 2.25
<szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1358.25 «« paper »»

Exited all Long ES at 1363 --> + 4.75 «« paper »» 09:59
<NihabaAshi> Resistance up here
Shorts ER2 @ 716.70 -> medium size
<Nesi> Paulson: US Housing Downturn 'Significant,' 'Necessary'10:00

(Dow Jones 02/05 10:00:06)
<KN-ES>  Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 61.25 --> + 5.25
<NihabaAshi> Necessary ???
<KN-ES> s/l 57
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 715.40 --> + 1.3 10:01
<startrader>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1359.50 --> + 3.75 10:02
<NihabaAshi> volatility contracting10:03
<KN-ES> s/l hit 56 out 57 ............ +1.00
Long ES @ 58.25 10:04
sz
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 716.30 -> medium size
<szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1358.25 «« paper »» 10:06
<NihabaAshi> more contracting volatility

Exited ER2 Long @ 715.50 --> - 0.8 10:07
<KN-ES> out 56 ........ -1.00
<Pepe> :(
<KN-ES> - 2.2510:08
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 715.40 -> medium size
<szubaark> lots of shakes out there
<NihabaAshi> geeesh...its fast this morning
<KN-ES>  Long ES @ 56
sz
<cFox> Ym db bottom in play10:09
<KN-ES>  Exited 3/4 ES Long @ 55 --> - 1
?
Exited 3/4 ES Long @ 58 --> + 2
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 715.80 --> - 0.4 10:10

Long ER2 @ 715.70 -> large size 10:12
<KN-ES> add 5710:13
out 3/4 58 +1.0010:14
<szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1356.50 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 10:15

Shorts ES @ 1356.50 «« paper »»
<KN-ES> add 5810:17
out 3/4 59 +1.00
<robert1>  Long ES @ 58.75 10:18
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 716.20 --> + 0.5
<robert1>  Exited all ES Long @ 60 --> + 1.25
<NihabaAshi> position size error...
<robert1> exit error ;>)
<NihabaAshi> I went large when I should have been medium or small size10:19
This ER2 price action has to be the "fastest" I've ever traded in.10:20
Something big is about to occur.
<ItalianSharp> yeah, mkts are crazy today
<NihabaAshi> Today is a good example of learning about the price action via "Hindsight Charts" at the end of the trading day.10:22
Hindsight charts do not capture the "speed" of the price action.10:23
You need to experience that in realtime or study live recordings of the price action...
No other way around it.
<szubaark> yup.
<KN-ES>  Exited all ES Long @ 56 --> 0 10:24
<NihabaAshi> I got $800 bucks to my name today and I could easily be down a few grand due to not being use to this type of "speed".
<ItalianSharp> wedge on ES...this exlains the chop
need to breakout either way to get better price action10:25
<NihabaAshi> My profit goal for the day is only $1500
<ItalianSharp> why niha? because of price action?10:26
<sb> 'only' :)
<KN-ES>  Long ES @ 57.50
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 716.30 -> medium size

ItalianSharp...yes
<KN-ES>  Exited 3/4 ES Long @ 58.50 --> + 1
<NihabaAshi> Push higher...geeesh.10:27
<KN-ES> 1/5 59.75 + 2.25
<robert1> nice entry niha
<KN-ES> 1/5 60.75 + 3.2510:28
<startrader> man they are painting this 60 min bar, tough action.10:29
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 718.40 --> + 2.1 10:30
Holding 1 contract
rober1...its "only a nice entry" depending upon where I exit :)
<KN-ES> 1/5 62.75 + 5.2510:31
<NihabaAshi> Thus, if I was at a loss right now...that entry wouldn't be so hot :)
<KN-ES> 1/5 61.75 + 4.25

s/l 57.50
<startrader> Lost data for 3 minutes and missed that sell!
<NihabaAshi> Geeesh...its all over the place.10:33

Pin Ball Machine
<szubaark> that last Volatlity spike candle is getting retraced completely LOL10:35
<KN-ES> add 58.00
<ItalianSharp> if ES can't get back up quickly, new lows are in the cards
some buyers should step in now10:36
<KN-ES> 3/4 out 59.50 ..........+1.50
<szubaark> overall tough price action since opening
<KN-ES>  58 out 59 ......+1.0010:37
<KiwiRoo> chopy chopy....10:41
<KN-ES> its a perfect day for scalping10:42
<KiwiRoo> perfect day for your methodology.hehehe
<cFox> yes nice trade kn10:43
<KN-ES> too much work
thanks cFox
<KiwiRoo> i got too many levels too close to each other around here... bouncing like anything....
<KN-ES> good luck10:44
:)
<KiwiRoo> yeah.. i'm sitting flat.. hheehe
<KN-ES> s/l hit 57.50 ...... 0.00
<startrader> only signifigant level is r2 level at 63.50. Minor retrace level at 58.
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 718.10 --> + 1.8 10:45
<KiwiRoo> i have. 60, 58.25, 55.50 .....
<NihabaAshi> I got my profit goal for the day :)10:46
<KiwiRoo> nice job niha.
<KN-ES>  Long ES @ 58.25
2 con
<NihabaAshi> Dropping my position size down to 1 contract only.

Price action is crazy = Pin Ball Machine

I had one trade today that as soon as my order got filled...

In less than 2 seconds it was 9 ticks against me :(
<KiwiRoo> that gotta suck....10:47
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1357.50
<KN-ES> out 57.25 .... -1.0010:48
<cFox> don't see much room for upside from here
<startrader>  Exited all ES Long @ 1356.50 --> - 1
<KiwiRoo> I think it'd be two sided trading from here on.... unless break of HOD/LOD...10:49

under 55.50 and i have 53, 52,51....10:50
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1355.50
<KiwiRoo> actually 51.50

big boys are selling...10:51
<cFox> ER2 was so strong this morning, once it drops, others will follow10:53
<KiwiRoo> LOD held...

ER2 on its on there...10:54
<cFox> dow leads the downside
<KN-ES> well. i think it wil fill up the gap at the end of day10:55
<cFox> ofcause posible.10:56
<KN-ES> they will get everyone on sell side and then
<KiwiRoo> Long way up.. but yes... possible :P
but given the type of day it is.... hard to do..
<KN-ES> :)
<KiwiRoo> under 51.. say goodnight.. hehehe
<KN-ES> well, anything anytime
<KiwiRoo> I'm trialing squawk box at trading the news.... not bad....10:57
<KN-ES>  Long ES @ 55 10:58

2 con

out 1 at 56.25 ........ + 1.2510:59

s/l 55

hit

long 5511:00

2 con

out 5411:01
<szubaark> expecting volatility spike soon, hopefully to downside, im Short11:02
<KN-ES> long 54.50 sm
<KiwiRoo> it wants to go UP... getting rid of the sellers now maybe?
check out double bottom.....11:03
<szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1356.50 «« paper »»
<cwellsi> 719.5 was major resistance...may be hod
<szubaark> tough conditions either if you Long or Short11:04
<KiwiRoo> YUP!
<KN-ES> out 53.5011:05
<Brutus> Institute for Supply Management's January non-manufacturing index moves to a reading of 41.9, from December's 54.4. Data are released early due to a possible breach of information. Forecasters expected a reading of 52.5.
<KiwiRoo> LOD needs to hold here.... or goneeeski...

nope..
<szubaark> ES busting thru Support
<KN-ES> long 51.50
<KiwiRoo> I'm shorting this......11:06
<cwellsi> will watch reaction around SPX 1350 area
<startrader> between the weather moving into chicago and parade in ny, this could be a grueling day. Lot's of participants are focused elsewhere.11:07
<KiwiRoo> 47 target..

damn bounce.... out +1tick.. :(
<cwellsi> GLOBAL SERVICES INDEX FALLS SHARPLY TO 45.8 IN JANUARY FROM 54.1 IN DECEMBER -JP MORGAN
<KN-ES> 3/4 out 52 .511:08

3/5 out 52.75 ........... + 1.2511:10
<cwellsi> if 1350 breaks, looking for a low around 1336.5 area
<KN-ES> s/l 50.50
<KiwiRoo> lots of levels be4 that I think cwell.
<KN-ES> not sure but feels like we have a bottom11:11
<cwellsi> well 1350 the important one imo
<KiwiRoo> 51.50 was my support... no one was willing to take it further just then....11:12
<KN-ES> :)
<KiwiRoo> could be just reaction bounce :P
<szubaark> its tough even watching this
<KiwiRoo> under 51.50 and I'll short it again...11:13
<startrader> 46 handle is 38% of of 1.22.07 low.11:14
<KiwiRoo> or looking for short at 55 areas....
<KN-ES> 1/5 out 53.75 ....... +3.2511:15
<KiwiRoo> nice going KN.
<KN-ES> thanks KiwiRoo
<pdays>  Long ES @ 1352.75 11:19
<KN-ES> now 50 or 60
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 712.2 «« paper »» 11:20
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1354 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 11:21
Buys ES @ 1354 «« paper »»
<pdays>  Exited all ES Long @ 1353.75 --> + 1
<startrader>  Shorts ES @ 1354.50 11:22
<Andy>  Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 713.8 --> + 1.6 «« paper »»
<startrader> was tryin to build a position up to 56.11:23
Shorts ES @ 1355 -> Add 11:24
<szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1354.25 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» 11:26
* szubaark is now known as szubaark_away
<startrader>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1354 --> + 1 11:27
<Andy>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 713.3 --> + 1.1 «« paper »» 11:28
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for traders and intermarket analysis of Emini Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, XLE, QQQQ, SPY)
<startrader>  Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1353.75 --> + 0.75
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1352 --> + 2.5 11:31
Shorts ES @ 1355.50 11:33
Shorts ES @ 1355.75 -> Add
Shorts ES @ 1356.75 11:36
<KN-ES> add 56.50
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead11:40
<startrader>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1355 --> + 0.75 11:41

Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1355. --> + 1.75 11:44
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 715.70 -> small size 11:46
1 only
<Pepe> nice entry Niha11:47
<startrader>  Shorts ES @ 1359
<NihabaAshi> No chasing to :)
<KN-ES> out 3/4 at 59.00 .......... + 2.50
<NihabaAshi> Got my signal at 715.50

If I chase more than 2 ticks...it gets documented as a "poor entry trade".11:48
<KN-ES> out 3/5 at 58.25 .......... + 2.25
<Pepe> ok
<NihabaAshi> Those trades don't get included in my normal trading stats.
<KN-ES> +1.75
<NihabaAshi> They get categoriezed in a different group of stats.
So far, this breakout not holding its weight.11:49
Exited ER2 Long @ 715.80 --> + 0.1
<Pepe> :(
<NihabaAshi> It'll setup a re-entry...hopefully not too far above the original signal11:50
Long ER2 @ 716.30 -> small size
<startrader>  Shorts ES @ 1358.50 -> Add 11:51
<silo> why exit initial and buy higher?
<NihabaAshi> New signal for the buy

Didn't matter where another pattern signal occurred...just as long as it wasn't too far away11:52
<startrader>  Covered all ES Short @ 1356.25 --> + 5 11:53
<NihabaAshi> At least the "fast paced" pin ball machine price action has been minimized for awhile now.11:56
<silo> oh wow niha.. you held through that dip?11:57
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 716.50 --> + 0.2 11:59
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 716.7 «« paper »» 12:00
<NihabaAshi> Hopefully another signal appears becasue the price action has slowed nicely with normal tradable volatility

Shorts ER2 @ 715.50 -> small size 12:01
<Andy>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 715.4 --> + 1.3 «« paper »»
<Pepe> nice Andy12:02
<szubaark_away>  Shorts ES @ 1356.25 «« paper »»
<Andy> thanks Pepe12:03
<NihabaAshi> oh oh...pin ball machine12:05
Tough to get points today...12:06
Easy to get a few ticks :(
<Andy>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 715.9 --> + 0.8 «« paper »» 12:07
<NihabaAshi> I have a support area down around 714.0012:08
Good profit target when there's no WRB's to get me out of a profitable trade12:09
<szubaark_away> followthru is non-existant...feels like im swing trading12:11
<NihabaAshi> WRB profit target right now
May get lucky here and capture more
Covered ER2 Short @ 714.00 --> + 1.5 12:12
<Pepe> very nice NIha
<NihabaAshi> Got 5 ticks more than the WRB pt1 level :)12:13
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 714.3 --> + 2.4 «« paper »»
<Pepe> very Nice Andy
<NihabaAshi> agree
<Andy> thanks, today i'm in the groove12:14
but now that i've said, it could get difficult...:)12:15
"said that"
<Nesi> *DJ Fed's Lacker: Recent Econ Data Have Raised Downside Risks12:16

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:15:06)

DJ Fed's Lacker: Uncomfortable With Inflation Picture

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:15:05)

*DJ Fed's Lacker Sees Possibility Of Mild Recession

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:15:02)

DJ Fed's Lacker: Further Easing May Be Warranted12:17

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:15:00)

Fed's Lacker Sees `Sluggish' Econ Growth For 6 Mos

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:17:36)

ECB's Noyer: No SocGen-Type Risks Exist In Other Banks12:18

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:17:47)

Fed's Lacker Expects Job Growth To Be `Lethargic'
<szubaark_away>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1356.25 «« paper »» 12:19
<Nesi>  DJ Fed's Lacker: Further Easing May Be Warranted12:22

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:22:15)
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 713.80 -> small size 12:23
missed the actual entry @ 714.1012:24
tighten the stop12:25
Dark Hammer Line :(12:27
<szubaark_away>  Covered all Short ES at 1353.75 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 12:28

:(.. too early12:29
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 712.90 --> + 0.9
<cwellsi> 1350 area test again
<szubaark_away>  Buys ES @ 1352 «« paper »» 12:30
<NihabaAshi> Lunch time and a snow break...we have our 9th big snow storm of the winter.

Took two days to dig out last one on Friday :(
<szubaark_away>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1352 «« paper »» 12:31
Exited all Long ES at 1352 --> 0 «« paper »» 12:32
Shorts ES @ 1351.50 «« paper »» 12:34
Covered all Short ES at 1353.25 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 12:35
Buys ES @ 1353.25 «« paper »»
Exited all Long ES at 1349.50 --> - 3.75 «« paper »» 12:36
Shorts ES @ 1349.50 «« paper »»
<KN-ES>  Long ES @ 49 12:37

sz

Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 50.25 --> + 1.25 12:39
<KiwiRoo> that was a good stop hunting then...12:41
<szubaark_away>  Covered all Short ES at 1351.25 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 12:42

Buys ES @ 1351.25 «« paper »»
<KN-ES>  Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 51.25 --> + 2.25
s/l 48.75
<cFox> Can anyone help me with a mIRC setting?12:46

remember a option setting to highlight a line

don't seem to be able to locate the it
<KiwiRoo> you have to click one of the bar.12:47
address book
just under Tools.12:48
and highlight is on the last tab.
<cFox> Tools under main menu?12:50
<KiwiRoo> it just an icon.
you mean.. highlight words right?
just go to Tools - address book.
<cFox> a message line
<nqlove> Dexpot has hidden my NT12:51
<cFox> got it, thank you KiwiRoo
<KiwiRoo> np.
<Nesi> WSJ: Banks In Early Talks To Shore Up Bond Insurer FGIC12:54

(Dow Jones 02/05 12:54:08)
<KN-ES> add 53
out 53 52 ........ -1.0012:59
out 49.00 52 ............ +3.0013:00
long 5313:01
out 3/4 53 54.25 ............ +1.2513:02
s/l 50.7513:04
50.50 long13:08
out 49.5013:09
long 48.7513:10
s/l 45.00
3/4 out 51 ............. +2.2513:22
<pat255> vn kn...13:23
<KN-ES> s/l 47.75
<pat255> man o man take L heer was right..
<Nesi>  DJ Fed's Lacker: Tax Rebates Could Provide Econ Boost In Late 0813:24
(Dow Jones 02/05 13:23:59)
<KN-ES> thansk Pat25513:25

thanks13:26

:)
<pat255> kn what tf u use for tades?
N uses 1 2 5 mins star uses 1 hr & 15 mins
i need to c the setups right..dang miss them
<KN-ES> :)13:27
<pat255> when u have a moment .
<KN-ES> out 48.75

well, today, I am just following the volume

500 volume chart helps
<pat255> vol chart?13:28
<KN-ES> yes
<pat255> kty
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for traders and intermarket analysis of Emini Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, XLE, QQQQ, SPY)
<KN-ES> since es has no direction voulume can save giving an early direction of the short, very short move13:29
long 48.7513:30
out 7/8 49.75 +1.0013:31
s/l 48
very tight s/l
out 48 last con -0.7513:33
long 47.50 1 con
out 46.5013:34
<pat255> hmm i gotta use 1 pt stop too...
<KN-ES> we dont have a choice
<pat255> y agree
<KN-ES> long 46.7513:35
<cFox> should have support here
<KN-ES> small lot tight s/l early exit with most of the lots
brb13:36
<NihabaAshi> I'm looking for ER2 to try and find some support here.13:37
<pat255> seems every move up is shorted13:38
<Nesi> DJ Fed's Lacker:Risks Of Recession Have Risen Lately

(Dow Jones 02/05 13:38:05)
<pat255> they know it but wont admit it
<Nesi> J Fed's Lacker: Plenty of Liquidity in Bank Market

(Dow Jones 02/05 13:38:32)
<cwellsi> now that 1350 is broken, more downsiide to come13:39
<pat255> y looks that way..
<cwellsi> but expect some retests
<KiwiRoo> down wedge about to break on ES.13:42

if not then... short again.13:43
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 708.70 -> small size 13:44
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1346.00
<KiwiRoo> this area is a struggle...13:45
too many numbers...
<Nesi> DJ =WSJ: Fed's Bernanke To Testify On Econ Feb 1413:46

(Dow Jones 02/05 13:45:53)
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 708.30 --> + 0.4
geeesh :(
<KN-ES> there are some huge buy orders sitting in this area13:47
<KiwiRoo> watch for trend line break to the upside.
gonna be big.
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 709.80 -> small size
<startrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1348 --> + 2
<KN-ES> lets see who win13:48

should go down
<KiwiRoo> nope.. can't do it..
<startrader>  Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1356 --> + 10

46
<cwellsi> looking good for 1336.5 target
<NihabaAshi> volatility spike

trying hard to do a volatility breakout
<KiwiRoo> both trend lines held... up/down.13:49
still a wedge....
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1345 13:50
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 708.10 --> - 1.7
Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 708.10
<KiwiRoo> holly monkey........13:52
<NihabaAshi> back to back trades not doing what I expected...
There's that feeling of being "lost in the forrest".
:(
<KiwiRoo> they're not sure which way to break out..
<NihabaAshi> volatility contracting too...13:53
Easy position reversal if I'm wrong...
Nice profit if I'm right and it pops downward instead of upwards.
<startrader>  Exited all ES Long @ 1345.50 --> + 0.5
<KiwiRoo> i'm flat and waiting for confirmation..13:54
<NihabaAshi> Oil seemes to want to go down
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1345
<NihabaAshi> Gold wants to go up

:(
<KiwiRoo> there go.. .. buy on pull back.
<KN-ES> finally. i guess13:55
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 708.50 --> - 0.4
Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 708.50
<cwellsi> no washout selling so expect more
<NihabaAshi> Pin Ball Machine has returned again :(
<KN-ES> fundamentals against sentiment
<KiwiRoo> AD/DC is 1825... wow.....13:56
trin 2.22.....
@@'
<startrader> just looked at big picture, 45 is 38% of low to high including overnight, 1255-1400
<NihabaAshi> Lost in the Forrest :(13:57
<cwellsi> big picture would be oct high/jan low...fib that13:58
<KiwiRoo> from the look of PA. I seems like they're trying to do a spring board bounce (IMO)...
<NihabaAshi> sneaky little booger13:59
<KiwiRoo> they're trying hard... sellers hasn't dried up yet.......
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 708.60 --> + 0.1

Be back later...more snow to plow again.14:00
<cwellsi> S3 1345.75
2pm lows14:01
<KN-ES> long 43
<startrader>  Long ES @ 1343.50
<KN-ES> out 7/8 42.25 +1.2514:03

s/l 43
<KiwiRoo> I wish they can pull this thing back to 51 again so I can enter short.....
<KN-ES> 46 looks like the next LH14:04
<KiwiRoo> yeah. i have 46,47 above this.
42.50 suppost as mentioned earlier.
<KN-ES> 44.25 was the exit14:05

s/l hit 43
<KiwiRoo> under that i got 35.50.. woo long way down...
<KN-ES> short 4614:07
<startrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1346.25 --> + 2.75 14:08
<robert1> nice star
<startrader> ty
<pat255> vn star
<Andy> kudos, star
<KiwiRoo> nice trade there.
<KN-ES> out 4714:09
<startrader> was looking at the close on 1.22.07 at 42 to give a bounce.

Exited all ES Long @ 1347.75 --> + 4.25 14:10
<pat255> vvn14:11
<KiwiRoo> awesome...
<KN-ES> short 47
out 47 doesnt look ok14:12
<KiwiRoo> Italian Parliament to be dissolved on Wed .. wow..
<KN-ES> short 4714:13
s/l 48
7/8 out 46.00 +1.0014:15
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 707.7 «« paper »» 14:18
<KN-ES> add 46 1 con
ht s/l 4814:19
<Andy>  Exited 2/3 ER2 Long @ 709.2 --> + 1.5 «« paper »»
<KN-ES> srt 47.50
out 48.5014:20
<Pepe> NIce trading Andy14:26
<Andy> thanks Pepe - in the learning mode, just like you14:27
<Pepe> ok :)
<Andy>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 710.0 --> + 2.3 «« paper »» 14:28
<silo> andy doing well14:30

:P
<Andy> thanks, silo
<KiwiRoo> This area is real important...14:36

Short must hold or they'll lose control..

Here come the Calvary14:38
<pat255> yup14:39
<KiwiRoo> they must keep going here..

other sellers will jump on them.

there ya go.... lol.
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 711.1 <