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Jan 12th Thurs 2006 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting room on the IRC Othernet server.

Click here for the instructions on gaining access to #FuturesTrades.

In addition, NihabaAshi is the only trader in #FuturesTrades that represents TheStrategyLab.com strategies.

Further, you'll find below the text log of realtime trades that were posted by full-time, part-time traders from around the world and the timestamp is eastern standard time (est). 

Also, if you want to see an example of a trading day of what the trades actually look like on a computer screen while using mIRC to communicate with traders from all over the world in #FuturesTrades...click here.


NihabaAshi's Total Points Today: ER2 +3.30 or $330.00, YM +85.00 or $425.00

 Session Start: Thu Jan 12 09:26:17 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:26
<X> [NihabaAshi] Password, trade post script, trader profiles and trade journals are posted ONLY at the discussion forum at http://p207.ezboard.com/bthestrategylab
<pat255> flat to weak open, churn all session, then late strength

classical pattern lately...
<PapaJon> gm all09:27
<danshirley> th eolder this rally gets the more people ar afraid to put on new longs
<NihabaAshi> pat255...a few years ago that was a great pattern to trade...very consistent then...
 Waiting for the late afternoon rallies.
<pat255> but the mkt extended here ...it gonna turn on us ...09:28
<mispe> GM09:30
 GM
<les>  Long ER2 @ 713.9 09:34
<danshirley> euro diving09:35
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11049 09:37
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1297
<les>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 713.5 --> - 0.4
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1297.50 --> + 0.5 09:40
  Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1297 --> 0 09:41
<mispe>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 11044 --> + 5
<NihabaAshi> ER2 forgot the other eminis are down :)09:42
<mispe>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 11043 --> + 6 09:43
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.
<jbraswell314> it's so contrarian09:44
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1297.25 09:46
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11047 09:47

Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 11042 --> + 5 09:48
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 714.30 -> large size
<eminitrader>  Exited all ES Long @ 1297.25 --> 0
<WannaBeBOS> like it niha09:50
<mispe>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 11047 --> 0
<NihabaAshi> It's a low risk trade and easy to reverse into a Long position if I'm wrong.09:52
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 714
<NihabaAshi> Only reason why I broke my rule of only going "small size" for my first trade of the day.
<pat255> gl trade in er gets my heart pounding ..lol
<les> papertrade
<WannaBeBOS> i noticed that
<les>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 714 --> 0 09:53
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11048 09:55
<NihabaAshi> Risk growing the longer I stay in this trade :(09:56
<WannaBeBOS> come to daddy!
<jbraswell314>  Shorts ER2 @ 714
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 11043 --> + 5
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1297.25 09:57
<jbraswell314>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 713.50 --> + 0.5
<szubaark>  Shorts YM @ 11043 09:58
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 714.20
<pat255> nice niha working now..09:59
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11047
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 713.60 --> + 0.7
 Got a pt1 and tried to get out at 713.20 :(10:00
 If this drops to 712.70...I'm gonna regret not loading the boat on this trade.10:02
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 11042 --> + 5

Shorts YM @ 11050 10:05
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1297.75 --> + 0.5
<jbraswell314>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 714 --> 0 10:06
<NihabaAshi>  Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 714.20 --> + 0.1
<WannaBeBOS> that stinks10:07
<NihabaAshi> Yep...thought for sure I'll catch a few points per contract...wasn't meant to be.
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 11050 --> 0 10:08
<WannaBeBOS> it will pay eventually
<szubaark>  Covered all YM Short @ 11054 --> - 11 10:10

Long YM @ 11054
<eminitrader>  Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1298.25 --> + 1 10:11
<mispe>  Long YM @ 11046 10:13
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1297.50
<jbraswell314>  Shorts ER2 @ 713.70 10:15
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 713.00 -> small size 10:16
<mispe>  Exited all YM Long @ 11042 --> - 4 10:17
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 712.90
<szubaark>  Exited all YM Long @ 11039 --> - 15

:(((

Shorts YM @ 11039
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1297 --> + 0.5 10:18
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 711.90 --> + 1.1
<WannaBeBOS> die
<szubaark> dang im getting whacked here so far
<eminitrader>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1297.50 --> 0 10:19
<NihabaAshi> Gonna try and hold this position as long as possible to compensate for those remainders in the prior position getting their trailing stop picked pocketed.
<jbraswell314>  Covered ER2 Short @ 712.10 --> + 1.6 10:21
<NihabaAshi> Looking for anything between 710.40 - 709.20
<WannaBeBOS> nice jb
<jbraswell314> thx10:22
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11046
<NihabaAshi> jb...that was a nice entry when that counter-thrust failed.10:23

I got caught watching instead of reacting :(
<jbraswell314> thanks, I've been studying ways to enter better, as I always seem to lag behind some of the folks on here
<szubaark> The Overnight needs to break for any Shorts

not looking good for my Short10:25
<NihabaAshi> EIA Natural GAS Status Report about 4 mins away.10:26
 I think market so far is reacting to the Iran news and Oil reaction to the Iran news.
<jbraswell314> expecation is for a draw of about 20 Bcf
<danshirley>  Shorts YM @ 11050 -> Add «« paper »»
<pdays>  Shorts YM @ 11052 «« paper »»
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 11051 --> - 5 10:30
  Long YM @ 11046 10:34
<jbraswell314> fwiw, my impression is that most folks around here pay far more attention to the ICAP auction numbers for oil and gas than CNBC and bank forecasts10:35

Shorts ER2 @ 711.90

stop at BE
<pdays>  Covered YM Short @ 11041 --> + 11 «« paper »»
  Reverse and Enter Long YM @ 11041 «« paper »»
<jbraswell314>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 711.80 --> + 0.1 10:36
<WannaBeBOS> all about the next 60 seconds, jb10:37
<jbraswell314> you mean for the day?
<pdays>  Exited all YM Long @ 11045 --> + 4 «« paper »» 10:38
<WannaBeBOS> i meant for reports10:40
<mispe>  Exited all YM Long @ 11046 --> 0 10:41
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 712.80 --> + 0.2 10:49
<jbraswell314>  Long ER2 @ 712.90 10:51
  Exited all ER2 Long @ 712.90 --> 0 10:52
 :(
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.10:55
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 11051 10:57
  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 11046 --> + 5 11:05
  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 11042 --> + 9 11:07
  Long YM @ 11042 11:09
<danshirley>  Covered all YM Short @ 11041 --> + 19 «« paper »» 11:10
* danshirley is now known as danaway
<NihabaAshi> Looks like things have finally slowed down with the volatility still declining since the EIA Natural GAS status report.11:13
<mispe>  Exited all YM Long @ 11039 --> - 3 11:18
<NihabaAshi> DAX did that parabolic uptrend...I'm surprised that the Eminis didn't follow its "parabolic" pace.11:20
<mispe> it's due to the fall in Euro11:21
<pat255> c u all later ty all...back to office11:58
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.12:04
<ymtradr>  Shorts YM @ 11039 12:15
<szubaark>  Covered all YM Short @ 11041 --> - 2 12:21
 impulsive trading on my part today :(((12:22
<ymtradr> hope you didnt take the 39s because i did..
<szubaark> yes that was my Original Short from frikin 10:1812:24
 I was looking for a move either way, but we are in a range and i got smoked.12:25
<ymtradr>  Covered all YM Short @ 11033 --> + 6

i took the 10m reversal setup, bad r/r there but havent found much to be happy about today12:26
* ymtradr is now known as ymtradr_away12:47
<NihabaAshi>  Long YM @ 11035.00 -> large size 13:00
<szubaark>  Long YM @ 11034 13:05
<ymtradr_away>  Long YM @ 11036 13:11
<szubaark> now in scared.13:12
<ymtradr_away> take a look at the 5m reversal, nice bounce off yesterdays low but not sure we can get much higher since we've been downtrending today
<szubaark> we need NQ,ES to come along for the ride13:14
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.13:16
<ymtradr_away>  Exited all YM Long @ 11041 --> + 5 13:19
<szubaark>  Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 11040 --> + 6

exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 11034 13:20

Increasing timeframe for PT213:21
<NihabaAshi> 11040 doesn't look possible especially with ER2 stalling a little.13:24
 Meant 11045
  Exited all YM Long @ 11035.00 --> 0 13:25
 Got shook out :(
<szubaark>  Exited all YM Long @ 11034 --> 0

of course they gonna keep it here BEFORE 2pm treasury Report13:39

Long NQ @ 1770 13:41
<NihabaAshi> With the way Treasuries have been behaving lately...that 2pm report should produce some volatility.13:42
 If not...I'm going to call it quits for the trading day.
<szubaark> nice trading niha. small range u kept it tight.13:45

Exited all NQ Long @ 1765 --> - 5 13:52

Long NQ @ 1766 13:53
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts YM @ 11025.00 -> large size
 Volatility started a little early then I expected :(13:54
<substanz>  Long YM @ 11017 «« paper »» 13:55
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 2/3 YM Short @ 11015.00 --> + 10 13:56
  exit stop lowered YM @ 11024.00 13:57
<substanz>  Exited all YM Long @ 11012 --> - 5 «« paper »»
<szubaark> that came out of nowehere :(((
<NihabaAshi> Treasury Budget in 2mins13:58
<ymtradr_away> for some reason that isnt enough listed on the econ calendar i use, i need to get better news info
<GoodMood> ymtradr: look here -> http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/d ocuments/b-econoday.htm14:01
<ymtradr_away> thanks14:02
<szubaark>  Exited all NQ Long @ 1761.50 --> - 4.5 14:03

geez.. went wrong way
<togglex> long er2 710.514:06
<NihabaAshi>  Covered YM Short @ 10999.00.00 --> + 11025.00 - 10999.00.00 14:15

Ooops...

Covered YM Short @ 10009.00 --> + 1016 14:16

:(
<ymtradr_away> very nice trade niha, might i ask what your primary reason for s @ 025 was?
<NihabaAshi>  Covered YM Short @ 10999.00 --> + 26 14:17
<togglex> close long er2 709.8 -0.7 sorry was late
<NihabaAshi> Holding 1 contract remainder

Ymtrader...YM has been weak all day with several failed counter-thrusts...14:19

Then the Volatility Indices VIX and VXN made a strong move to the upside...

I just jumped on the band wagon sort'uv speak.
<ymtradr_away> got ya, thx14:20
<NihabaAshi> More importantly, the price movement was in reaction to the 2pm est Treasury Budget...

Within its 15min volatility window (1:45pm - 2:15pm est).14:21
<ymtradr_away> i don't use a live news stream for the reports, will CNBC suffice for this or too delayed?
<NihabaAshi> I don't use live news stream either eventhough I have access to it.14:23

I just use a economic calendar and monitor the price action within the 15min window of those reports.14:24
<ymtradr_away> ok that makes sense. thanks for the explanation.
<NihabaAshi> The TA side of my YM trade was that I did a late entry via chasing it down from my trade signal price @ 11033.00 (1:45pm est)14:25

Thus, got a little lucky because I was 8 points away from my pattern signal price when I only allow no more than 2 points for YM.14:27

Got lucky in that YM didn't do a counter-thrust back upwards soon after my entry.14:28
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.
<ymtradr_away> Got it
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.15:40
<ymtradr_away> i am done for the day, missed out on the treasury budget move and got knocked around early in the day. here's hoping to tomorrow. bye guys15:59
* ymtradr_away is now known as ymtradr16:00
<NihabaAshi> :(16:01

Too many discount buyers showing up late in the day.

I'll be watching the DAX tomorrow because there may be a possible trade signal soon after it GAPs down at its Open.16:13

Thus, because I'll be up early in the morning...I'll trade the Eminis just tomorrow's morning session only...16:14

Will be done by 11am est.
<WannaBeBOS> ppi report?16:17
<NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 11006.00 --> + 19 16:44

Decided at the last minute not to hold this contract as an overnight hold.16:45

It's bad enough I'll be getting up early but to try to get a decent sleep with that contract still open will be tough eventhough it was just one contract.

Wanna...yes...16:46

We got two key econ reports tomorrow morning at 0830am est

Then one more at 10am est.16:47

Take care and see all tomorrow.
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
* DisconnectedSession Close: Thu Jan 12 16:48:13 200616:48

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